UCF Knights (24-8) vs. Duke Blue Devils (30-5)
March 24, 2019, 5:15 PM ET (Colonial Life Arena)
Line: UCF Knights +750 Duke Blue Devils -950
Spread: Duke Blue Devils -13 / Total: 143.5
The UCF Knights defeated VCU in the first round of the tournament and are 7-3 in their last ten games. Johnny Dawkins has led the Knights to their first NCAA tournament victory in five tournament appearances in just his third season as the head coach. Aubrey Dawkins has helped lead the Knights with 15.1 points per game on 45% shooting and 39% from three with 5.1 rebounds a game. Tacko Fall has been the most prominent member of the Knights and has shot 75% from the field and has averaged 11 points and 7.7 rebounds per game at 7’6 he is one of the tallest players in the country.
The Duke Blue Devils defeated North Dakota State on Friday night 85-62 and shot 50.7% from the field. A big boost for the Blue Devils is Marques Bolden as he went 18 minutes in his first game back against North Dakota State after dealing with a knee injury. Duke will likely be without Jack White who has been a big part of their bench and would be a big loss as he has averaged 21.5 minutes per game for the Blue Devils if he’s not able to get past his hamstring injury for the second straight game.T he Blue Devils have been led by Zion Williamson who is putting up 22.2 points, 8.7 rebounds , and 2.0 assists but has struggled from the free throw line shooting 64.7%. Duke has won four straight games and has won seven of their last ten including winning the ACC Tournament.
Cover the Spread 365 Trends
Central Florida is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Central Florida is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida’s last 5 games
Duke is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Duke is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke’s last 7 games
The winner of this matchup will get the winner of the Liberty/Virginia Tech game in the sweet sixteen. The best recipe for an upset will be if Duke has a bad shooting night which for a bad shooting team is very possible and UCF will also need to win the rebounding battle. Look for RJ Barrett who will determine how far Duke can go as he led the team in scoring last time out with 26 points and leads the team in scoring g=during the season averaging 23 points a game. Duke should create plenty of mismatches and don’t be surprised if Fall gets into foul trouble early in the game for the Knights and Duke should make this a high-paced game. Duke if they can get the Knights running could make this a big win but the Blue Devils defense has been inconsistent of late but should pull out the victory but need to have a game where they play 40 consistent minutes on both ends of the floor before the biggest games of their season begin.