Free NCAA FB Team Total Picks for Underrated Teams
With the college football season less than a month away, you may be wondering which teams will unexpectedly improve their win total from last season. Odds makers have already released the over/under win total lines, but which teams have they underestimated?
In the 2018 season, teams like Florida and Cincinnati improved their overall win total by more than five games. Using trends from Cover the Spread 365 I have identified six underrated programs to look out for when betting the over/under for the upcoming season.
Free NCAA FB Predictions
ACC: Virginia Cavalie
Over 7½ Wins (-110)
Since hiring head coach, Bronco Mendenhall in 2015-2016 Virginia’s football program has really turned around. With a commitment to player development and improved recruiting, Mendenhall took a 2-10 team in 2016 to an 8-5 record in 2018. Also, Virginia suffered two heart breaking overtime defeats last year barely keeping them away from a 10 win season.
Last year Virginia ranked 13th in all of FBS in passing defense and with eight returning starters on that side of the ball I except their defense to pick up right where they left off. Last year was quarterback, Bryce Perkins’s first year as a starter, but having him return for a second year should create more stability within the Cavalier offense. Also, Mendenhall was able to bring in the 39th best recruiting class in the country which is a big improvement from last year when they did not even crack the top 50. In addition to new freshman, UVA acquired Grad transfer WR, Dejon Brissett who should increase the explosiveness of their offense.
If Mendenhall and the Cavalieres can survive tough matchups against Notre Dame, Miami and Virginia Tech they could be looking at a strong 9 win season.
AAC: Cincinnati Bearcats
Over 7½ Wins (-115)
Although Cincinnati recorded an 11 win season last year, critics are skeptical of their chances to repeat the same success this season.
Last year Cincinnati ranked 15th in the nation in rushing offense. With last season’s leading rusher, Michael Warren II, returning and 2017 rushing leader Gerrid Doaks returning from injury expect the Bearcats to possess one of the nation’s top rushing attacks once again. So why are people so low on Cincinnati this year after an 11 win season?
For starters, Cincinnati faces a tougher non-conference schedule this year with games against Ohio state and UCLA. Also the bearcats lost two of their top defensive lineman.
At the end of the day, the bearcats will be able to feed off of Coach Luke Fickell’s strong culture and their impressive rushing offense to win at least eight games in a relatively weak AAC.
Big Ten: Iowa Hawkeyes
Over 7½ Wins (-135)
Coming off a disappointing 5-4 season in a difficult Big Ten, I expect Iowa to turn it around this year. The team will be playing with extra motivation for their coach, Kirk Ferentz, who is entering his 21st season as head coach making him the longest tenured head coach in program history.
Iowa’s quarterback Nate Stanley will return for his senior season but is losing two tight ends from last year to the NFL. Luckily for Stanley, junior WRs Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Brandon Smith are both returning. This veteran leadership will put the Hawkeyes in a very good position to win their six very winnable home games against teams like Rutgers, Illinois, and Miami OH.
Lastly, DE A.J Epenesa was tied for 13th in the country with 10.5 sacks last year and should have even more this year.
With one of the best defensive lineman in the country and strong veteran leadership Iowa should be able to take advantage of teams who under estimate them in the Big Ten and win more than 7 games.
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