24 USC Trojans (1-0) vs BYU Cougars
College Football: Saturday, September 14th, 2019 at 3:30 PM ET (LaVell Edwards Stadium)
Moneyline: USC Trojans (-185), BYU Cougars (+165)
Spread: USC Trojans (-4, -110), BYU Cougars (+4, -110)
The USC Trojans travel to Provo, Utah to take on the BYU Cougars after both teams picked up big wins in week 2. The Trojans defeated 23rd ranked Stanford 45-20 behind the impressive true freshman Kedon Slovis in his first career start. Slovis completed 28 of 33 pass attempts for 377 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. He and the new USC Air Raid attack will face off against a BYU team that is looking to pull off another upset after defeating Tennessee 29-26 in double overtime at Rocky Top. BYU rushed for just 3.6 yards per carry, but a dramatic last second 64-yard connection between sophomore quarterback Zach Wilson and senior receiver Micah Simon set the Cougars up to tie the game at 16 at the end of regulation. Wilson went 19 for 29 through the air for 232 yards and a touchdown. South Carolina graduate transfer running back Ty’Son Williams carried the ball 17 times for 92 yards and 2 touchdowns, including the game winning five-yard score in double overtime. Subscribe to Cover The Spread 365 now to find out why the Trojans will win and cover the spread for the second week in a row.
USC Wins if…
Kedon Slovis and the Air Raid offense pick up where they left off last week.
The Trojans return their top 3 wide receivers from last season (Tyler Vaughns, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Michael Pittman Jr.) along with their two leading rushers (Vavae Malepeai and Stephen Carr). The Trojans struggled to get their best receivers the ball in space last year, but the new air raid offense did that perfectly last week with Slovis at the helm against Stanford. Slovis made fast reads, got the ball out quickly and dropped some dimes to his receivers throughout the game. He set a USC record for most passing yards by a first-time freshman starter with 377. USC’s receivers are all long and athletic and should have an advantage against the BYU secondary.
BYU Wins if…
The offensive line steps up.
BYU’s offensive line has had a rough first two weeks of the season. The unit has struggled to protect Wilson and allowed 6 tackles for loss in each of the Cougars’ first 2 games. Against Utah in week 1, two Wilson interceptions turned into pick sixes and last week Wilson took care of the ball but was sacked 4 times. This unit needs to improve its run blocking too as BYU is rushing for just 3.8 yards per carry this season. If the line can give Wilson enough time, he will have a chance to pull the upset just as he did in the final seconds against Tennessee. This USC front seven will pose a greater challenge than Tennessee last week and may be a speedier group than BYU saw week 1 against Utah.
Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends
Southern California are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games.
Southern California are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
Southern California are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Independent conference.
Brigham Young are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Brigham Young’s last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brigham Young’s last 8 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brigham Young’s last 9 games against an opponent in the Pacific 12 conference.
Slovis keeps the offense rolling and USC overwhelms BYU to win a second straight blowout. USC has a clear talent advantage on the outside and will test the depth of the BYU secondary. The big man in the middle for USC, Jay Tufele, will wreak havoc against a struggling BYU offensive line and force BYU to air it out with Wilson more than they would like on long third downs. Look for the USC secondary led by Olaijah Griffin (4 passes defended last week) to make some plays and put this game out of reach in the third quarter.