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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Game Preview, Pick & Odds

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Kansas State Wildcats (6-4 Overall, 3-4 in Big 12)


Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-6 Overall, 2-5 in Big 12)

Saturday, November 23, 2019 @ 7 PM EST

Jones AT&T Stadium (Lubbock, TX)

Moneyline: KS (+105), TT (-125)

Spread: KS +1 (-110), TT -1 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 57 (-110)

Odds courtesy of MyBookie

Game Preview

The play styles of Texas Tech and Kansas State are about as different as it gets. From time of possession to total offense to total defense, the Raiders and Wildcats are on opposite ends of the spectrum across the board.

Texas Tech ranks 16th in total offense (470.9 YPG), 49th in scoring offense (31.5 PPG), 124th in total defense (478.2 YPG), T-73rd in scoring defense (28.5 PPG) and 98th in time of possession (28 MPG). Meanwhile, Kansas State ranks 87th in total offense (383.6 YPG), T-54th in scoring offense (31.1 PPG), 43rd in total defense (362 YPG), T-32nd in scoring defense (21.4 PPG) and fifth in time of possession (34 MPG).

Kansas State Wildcats

Despite the fact that they’ve followed up their three-game win streak, which included a huge upset over Oklahoma, with two straight losses, Kansas State can solidify a bowl berth for themselves and eliminate the Red Raiders’ bowl hopes with a victory tonight.

The Wildcats have lost their last two games (@ Texas, West Virginia) by a combined seven points, so they’re that close to being 8-2 and near the top of the Big 12. In both games, they allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete over 62% of their passes, which has been the telltale sign of a Wildcats win this season. They are 1-4 when allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 62% or more of their passes (with their upset win against Oklahoma being the lone exception) and 5-0 when holding opposing quarterbacks to a completion percentage under 62%. The Red Raiders’ junior quarterback, Jett Duffey has played extremely well, with the exception of his two costly interceptions in their loss against Baylor. If the Wildcats can put some pressure on him and limit his effectiveness in the passing game, they have a good chance to win tonight.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

In a conference known for its explosive offenses and sub-par defenses, Texas Tech fits the bill perfectly. The Red Raiders’ defense has struggled mightily during Big 12 play, as they’ve allowed over 550 yards of offense and just under 35 points per game in their seven conference games. They’ve only held one Big 12 opponent under 33 points and have not held any of them under 500 yards of offense. Despite their lack of defense, the Red Raiders still have an outside shot at a bowl game, thanks to their explosive offensive that can score in a flash.

Texas Tech has not turned the ball over nearly as much as you’d think for a team that has run 77 plays per game (18th in FBS, 3rd in Big 12), as they are plus-seven in turnover margin (T-16th in FBS, T-1st in Big 12) and they’ve forced three or more turnovers in four of their games.

The Pick

With a spread this small, it’s basically a toss up, but I like Texas Tech’s offense to carry them to a victory tonight and keep their bowl hopes alive before they head to Austin to take on the Longhorns.

Texas Tech (-125)