#6 LSU Tigers (1-0) at #9 Texas Longhorns (1-0)
NCAA Football: Saturday, September 7th, 2019, at 7:30 pm (Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium)
Lines and Odds: LSU -6.5 – Over/Under: 57.5
Free CFB Pick LSU Tigers vs Texas Longhorns
The LSU Tigers will take on the Texas Longhorns in a matchup that is heavily considered a College Football Playoff eliminator. Both teams can ensure their rise to become the powerhouses they once were with a win tonight. Tom Herman and Ed Orgeron both took over as head coach for their teams back in 2016, and have been successful in bringing them back prominence ever since. Last year, Orgeron led the Tigers to a Fiesta Bowl win against UCF while Herman and the Longhorns knocked off 2017 National Champion runner-up Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. The Longhorns and the Tigers will be playing this game with bowl season heavily on their minds.
Although both teams are ranked and favorites in their respective conferences, Texas would still be pulling out an upset in winning the matchup with LSU favored. LSU QB Joe Burrow hammered Georgia Southern last week, going 23-27 for 278 yards and five touchdown passes en route to a 55-3 win. Joe Brady is LSU’s new passing game coordinator and will have a very tough test his second week of the season. The plan is to continue helping Burrow by spreading the ball quickly and having multiple playmakers out on the field as Burrow ran an offense last week that snapped a play every 21 seconds.
“We’re spread all the way,” said Orgeron of the LSU offense. “We’re going. We’re uptempo. We’re rolling.”
Longhorns QB Sam Ehlinger has been on a roll since last season and entered 2019 as the Big 12 Preseason Offensive Player of the Year. Ehlinger threw for 25 touchdowns last year and scored 16 more on the ground. Coming off a 45-14 win against Louisiana Tech, Ehlinger was 28-of-38 for 276 yards and four touchdowns. The focus of this week isn’t on Ehlinger as he almost certainly is a lock to produce, but how both defenses will attack to what they see.
“I just like the fact that we have a lot of speed on the field; that’s number one, so if we make a mistake, we can cover it up,” says Texas defensive coordinator Todd Orlando on slowing down LSU’s weapons. “Then we have a whole bunch of guys that at the end of the day are really good playmakers.”
LSU linebacker K’Lavon Chaisson, who missed all of last year with a torn ACL, is somewhat familiar with the Longhorns as he chose to play for LSU over them back in 2017. Fellow linebackers Michael Divinity, Jacob Phillips, star safety Grant Delpit and freshman cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. may prove difficult for Texas to get around. With the Longhorns rushing attack a bit stagnant, Chaisson is highly confident in their defense and their ability to stop Ehlinger in his tracks.
“They really strongly believe they have a chance. I don’t.”
Cover The Spread 365 CFB Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU’s last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU’s last 5 games.
- LSU is 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas’ last 5 games.
- Texas are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games when playing as the underdog.
- Texas is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
Free CFB Prediction Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers
The Tigers just have more talent across the board than the Longhorns and are more physical in the trenches. The Tigers have a bevy of running backs in Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Lanard Fournette and top prospect John Emery Jr. It will be rough for the Longhorns if they can’t adjust to the many playmakers and packages that LSU has yet to utilize.
QB Joe Burrow is only going to get better with the talent at wide receiver, and I fully expect Joe Brady to keep getting the best out of his signal-caller and implement more of the offensive playbook against Texas.