Time and time again the Southeastern Conference continues to dominate the college football season. Although Alabama did lose to Clemson in last year’s championship game, you’ll still find seven SEC teams in ESPN’s Football Power Index Rankings in the top 15. Utter domination.
Any college football fan is used to the SEC dominating, and the current win projections for each of the conference’s powerhouses show that we’re in for another year of it.
Here are the over under win totals for the powerhouses of the SEC, and where you should place your money before the season.
Over 9 Wins: -110 / Under 9 Wins -110
It’ll all really start with the Florida Gators in Orlando, Florida against old time rivals the Miami Hurricanes. This game will open the college football season, and is going to really set up both team’s seasons going forward. A win for Florida would be huge considering their schedule in the SEC is tough enough, and Miami with a rather weaker schedule for the 2019 season, will really be looking to prove their worth and use this win if they so happen to make a top 4 bid at the end of the year.
The Gators do get to avoid Nick Saban and Alabama this year, but Kentucky, Tennessee, Auburn, LSU, Georgia, and another rivalry game with Florida State at the end of the year will make this very tough.
The redshirt junior Felipe Franks will be looking to improve off of a decent season next year, and teams should be looking out for his connections with a talented receiving core. Trevon Grimes is a name to look out for standing at 6’5, and after getting comfortable with his first season in Gainesville following the transfer from Ohio State, he could be a major weapon to try and get out of this tough scheduled season over that 9 win mark.
With all that said, there are too many tough games on this schedule that would make any bettor confident enough to take the over 9 wins.
Pick: Under 9 wins -110
Texas A&M Aggies
Over 7.5 Wins: -150 / Under 7.5 Wins +130
Going 8-4 in last year’s regular season with Jimbo Fisher’s first year in College Station was not a bad season at all, also considering they did win the Gator Bowl in unbelievable fashion, routing NC State 52-13.
A recurring theme in these predictions will be how each team’s schedule is pretty tough, but for A&M, they’ll have to play both teams from last year’s final, and it’s hard to think they’ll beat either Clemson or Bama. So there may be two losses right off the bat, and they’ll still have to come up against Georgia, Mississippi State, Auburn, and LSU. Really, really tough.
If they were to lose all six of those tough matchups, they’d hit the under finishing at 7-5, and its a real possibility. But A&M have some real experience coming into the season and may have a couple All-SEC mentions by the end of the year. Quarterback Kellen Mond will start his third season in a row, and Quartney Davis, Jhamon Ausbon or Anthony Hines are all real contenders to breakout barring they stay healthy.
There’s no reason the Aggies won’t stay competitive in all these games, and they’ll go on to win a couple as head coach Jimbo Fisher has a track record of winning. They’ll win at least 8.
Pick: Over 7.5 wins -110
Over 9 Wins: -120 / Under 9 Wins: +100
The Tigers put together their first double-digit win season in the last 6 years in their well played 2018 campaign. They capped it all off with Fiesta Bowl win over the UCF Knights, and they’ll be looking to carry that momentum into 2019.
LSU had a rough, 7OT loss to Texas A&M, and other than a loss to Alabama, their third loss was by one point to the Gators in the swamp. With a little luck on their side, a compelling 11-win season was almost in the books.
Yes, they are in the SEC and a bettor should always keep these tough losses in mind, but with returning quarterback Joe Burrow who really emerged last year, are looking at another double digit win season, but this time not with the 10th as a bowl game.
They did lose some talent in the draft, as most of these SEC teams do, but they may have kept just enough or even more than to get a really good season going. The Tigers on both offense, and their always productive defense, have experienced talent and new-coming talent inbound, which could lead this team to a College Football Playoff bid.
Pick: Over 9 Wins -120
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Over 8 Wins: -160 / Under 8 Wins: +140
Finishing last year with an 8-5 record, and an unfortunate loss in the Outback Bowl, Mississippi State had an underwhelming season other than their win against Texas A&M. They’ll be looking to improve.
Looking at their schedule for the 2019 season, they’ll go up against some of the stronger SEC teams with the likes of Bama, LSU, A&M, and the up and coming Wildcats of Kentucky, who happened to crush them last year.
With Nick Fitzgerald leaving for the 2019 draft, it will be interesting to see if the young, dual-threat QB Keytaon Thompson will win the offseason battle against newly acquired Tommy Stevens from Penn State. Both quarterbacks have had experience under center as well as running back and receiving positions.
Head Coach Joe Moorehead received an extension and now has a lot of work to do after their offense was underwhelming last year, and their defense, which kept them in most games, lost three big names in Jeffery Simmons, Montez Sweat, and Jonathan Abram — who were selected in the first round of the NFL draft.
Mississippi State could struggle a lot with multiple significant changes inbound, so bettors should be looking at the under and not risk losing extra cash.
Pick: Under 8 Wins +140
Over 10.5 Wins: -200 / Under 10.5 Wins: +170
Georgia will be looking at making a run at another amazing year, and also looking to be in the CFB Playoff, as they have some motivation after being left out last season.
The Bulldogs will remain with another tough schedule this year, but they have a lot of favorable games in which they’ll be getting to host. Going up against Notre Dame early in the season will be a good test for them, and getting the win in a neutral site against the Gators is vital for a championship run.
With the 30 touchdown quarterback Jake Fromm returning, and the ever-so powerful run game in Athens, Georgia has the talent on offense to put up big numbers week in and week out. Georgia fortunately will also have a lot of upperclassmen starters on the defensive side, and the experience could surely excel them to at least an 11-win regular season.
Take the expensive over here.
Pick: Over 10.5 Wins: -200
Over 8 Wins: +125 / Under 8 Wins: -145
Auburn kickstarted last year with a big win against #6 Washington, but after that, losing 5 conference games made them end their season 8-5, finishing with a commanding victory over Purdue in the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl.
Over the offseason, the Tigers lost their quarterback Jarrett Stidham who really held them together throughout the season. With having to play at A&M, at Florida, at LSU, and host both Georgia and Bama, Auburn are going to struggle this year with a new man under center. Not to mention they will have a test in Oregon at a neutral site to start the year.
It’s hard to believe that Auburn will get out of the season alive with an insane schedule and not much talent coming up as the same struggling offensive line remains, and their top receivers have left the program.
The sports books are right to favor going under 8 wins this year.
Pick: Under 8 Wins: -145
Alabama Crimson Tide
Over 11 Wins: -110 / Under 11 Wins: -110
The national championship game did not go the way the Crimson Tide would have hoped, but with Tua returning, there is no reason not to believe Saban won’t win the SEC and be in that national championship game yet again.
Alabama will end the season at Auburn for another Iron Bowl, and heading to Mississippi state and hosting LSU will be their three main “tests” of the season.
With a highly favored Heisman winner who is more than proven at this point, and Saban still running the show, Alabama will finish the regular season undefeated. Take the over, you’ll get your money back at 1 loss anyway. There should be no hesitation as a winning Alabama football team is one of the most constant themes in recent sports history.