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The Masters: Picks By The Trends

2018 Free Masters Picks and Predictions

It’s Masters BABY!!!! If you’re a golf fan, then this is the best week of the entire year for you. If you’re just a sports fan in general inescapably, you’re tuning in to the Masters, right?

Weekly readers know I give out picks against the odds each week, and those are coming later on today, but this is our picks from recent trends from the Masters Tournament.

Here’s how it is going to work. I’ll give you a trend, and below I will throw in some golfers that don’t fit the bill so to speak.

Do NOT Pick the Defending Champ

Sorry, Sergio Garcia.

It just isn’t going to happen. I actually like the Sergio pick. He is playing good golf and striking the ball really well. A good ball striker is always someone to watch at Augusta. He also has played this course a lot. This will be his 20th appearance! But, he won’t repeat, or at least recent history says he won’t. The last repeat winner was Tiger Woods in 2001-02.

Do NOT Pick World Number One

Sorry, Dustin Johnson.

World number one hasn’t won at the Masters in over a decade. In fact, in most years there is value in the value pick like Zach Johnson in 2007 or Angel Cabrera in 2009.

Go With the USA

Or any other country not in Europe. I know Sergio won last year, but Garcia and Danny Willett are the only two European players to win since 1999.

2017: Spain
2016: England
2015: USA
2014: USA
2013: Australia
2012: USA
2011: South Africa
2010: USA
2009: Argentina
2008: South Africa
2007: USA
2006: USA
2005: USA
2004: USA
2003: Canada
2002: USA
2001: USA
2000: Fiji

Made the CUT in the Previous Year

Course history is essential at Augusta and in most recent years previous year’s success has translated into having a chance at a green jacket.

So, you can cross off: Dustin Johnson, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Tommy Fleetwood, Alex Noren, Webb Simpson, Henrik Stenson, Bubba Watson, Patrick Reed, Gary Woodland, and Tyrrell Hatton.

Do NOT Pick a First Timer

Sorry, Xander Schauffele, Tony Finau, Patton Kizzire, Dylan Frittelli, Wesley Bryan, Austin Cook, and a handful of others. Maybe next year.

Since 1934 since the Masters Tournament finally began, there have only been three golfers to win in their first appearance.

Course History is Super Important

24 of the last 28 winners have all had somewhat success at Augusta. At least a top 20 finishes somewhere in their career before putting on the green jacket.


Branden Grace
Adam Hadwin
Justin Thomas
Louis Oosthuizen
Jason Day