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The British Open – Odds and Prediction

The Open Championship

Carnoustie Golf Links – Carnoustie, Angus, Scotland

July 19-22, 2018

The British Open

Golf’s most unpredictable, and arguably most difficult course will provide a unique setting for the 2018 field at the Open Championship this weekend. Unlike in previous years, the conditions of the course won’t be horrendous. However, they will still be unpredictable. Scotland’s uncharacteristically dry summer will provide players with fast, firm, and somewhat uneven greens. Especially on Thursday. Friday may change that a bit, however, as it’s the only day this weekend that has rain predicted. This makes Saturday and Sunday’s conditions a guessing game all the more. All of this said, there are certainly a few in the field worth highlighting.


Jordan Spieth’s short game has been unbelievably awful recently. Poor guy. However, this marks a full year since his last win. With eyebrows raised all around, expect Spieth to perform in a way that a champion does: Do everything he can to prove doubters wrong.

Marc Leishman has been playing extremely well on this course for years, finishing top 6 in 3 of the last 4 Opens. It’s been 25 years since an Australian (Greg Norman in 1993) won the Claret Jug and Leishman is certainly showing himself as the favorite to bring it back Down Under again.

Tiger Woods. If there’s someone who knows about a tournament drought, it’s him. However, he still remains relevant in golf news for one reason and one reason only: Even with as much as he has learned about losing in the last few years, he knows just as much about what it takes to win.  Sportsline’s proprietary model simulated this event over 10,000 times and predicted Tiger would make a strong run in this event. Reserved optimism for Tiger in this event is advised.

Other notables include Sergio Garcia, Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose, Henrik Stenson (coming off of an injury,) and favorite Dustin Johnson.



2017: Jordan Spieth/Matt Kucher

2016: Henrik Stenson/Phil Mickelson

2015: Zach Johnson/Marc Leishman and Louis Oosthuizen

2014: Rory Mcllroy/Rickie Fowler and Sergio Garcia

2013: Phil Mickelson/Henrik Stenson

British Open ODDS

Dustin Johnson 12-1, Rory McIlroy 16-1, Rickie Fowler 16-1,Justin Rose 16-1,Jordan Spieth 20-1, Justin Thomas 20-1, Tommy Fleetwood 20-1, Brooks Koepka 20-1, Jon Rahm 20-1, Jason Day 25-1, Tiger Woods 25-1, Henrik Stenson 25-1, Sergio Garcia 25-1, Alex Noren 25-1, Francesco Molinari 25-1, Patrick Reed 30-1, Paul Casey 30-1, Marc Leishman 40-1, Hidek Matsuyama 40-1, Branden Grace 40-1, Tyrrell Hatton 40-1, Phil Mickelson 50-1, Ian Poulter 50-1



Rory Mcllroy 16-1

Jordan Spieth 20-1

Tommy Fleetwood 20-1

Sergio Garcia 25-1


Patrick Reed 30-1

Marc Leishman 40-1

Phil Mickelson 50-1

Ian Poulter 50-1


Zach Johnson 60-1

Bubba Watson 60-1

Matt Kuchar 60-1

Adam Scott 80-1


Drum roll please…

Thank you.

With his momentum from this tour, including 4 top 4 finishes so far, my predicted winner is none other than Tommy Fleetwood. He’s not only played well this season, but he also currently holds the course record at Carnoustie (although with the uncommon weather conditions, he has already stated that any pervious success on the course will most likely not translate to success this weekend.) All of that said, I expect for Fleetwood to look and feel good this weekend, securing himself the Claret Jug.


[button type=”big” color=”green”] Winner: Tommy Fleetwood [/button]