Palm Harbor, FL
March 8-11, 2018
The PGA Tour travels back to America for the Valspar Championship. This is one of the best fields this tournament has ever had. Here is a look at the field, course, and odds.
Am I wrong for leading with the greatest of all time? Tiger Woods is in the field this week, and if you haven’t been paying attention, he is playing some outstanding golf. He has only missed one cut in four events and is coming off a solo 12 at The Honda Classic. We haven’t seen a low round for Tiger yet, could this week be the week we see a 66 or 67?
Also in the field is defending champ, Adam Hadwin. ValsparChamp on Twitter through some shade at the defending champion on February 15. They said a new champion would be hoisting the Valspar Golden Brush. What about Hadwin repeating? Hadwin is 28/1, and the course sits up for his game.
Jordan Spieth the 2015 Champion is in the field, and despite the drought of not winning and having bad putting tournaments, he is finishing reasonably well. In the past three events, he has finished T20, T9, and T14.
Last but not least, Steve Stricker gets the nod. Did you see him tear up last week after he won the Cologuard Classic? It just shows how much winning means to some of these guys and how much they respect the game.
Other notables in the field: Justin Rose, Rory McIlroy, Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson, Paul Casey, Tony Finau, and Adam Scott.
Valspar Championship PAST WINNERS/RUNNER-UPS
2017: Adam Hadwin (270) – Patrick Cantlay (271)
2016: Charl Schwartzel (277) – Bill Hass (277)
2015: Jordan Spieth (274) – Patrick Reed and Sean O’Hair (274)
2014: John Senden (277) – Kevin Na (278)
Jordan Spieth 8.5/1, Rory McIlroy 14/1, Sergio Garcia 16/1, Justin Rose 18/1
Henrik Stenson 20/1, Paul Casey 25/1, Tiger Woods 25/1, Adam Hadwin 28/1
Tony Finau 28/1, Byeong-Hun An 40/1, Webb Simpson 40/1, Adam Scott 45/1
Gary Woodland 45/1, Kevin Na 45/1, Matthew Fitzpatrick 45/1, Ryan Moore 50/1
Sergio Garcia 16/1 – Sergio has been striking the ball beautifully. He had three rounds in the 60’s at the WGC-Mexico with a 65 on Saturday. He is about to have his first kid, and I think once that happens he won’t care about the golf course for a while. He’s right there. If his putting can come together bank on Garcia having a chance on Sunday.
Henrik Stenson 20/1 – Remember last year when he had a W/D in the WGC-Mexico Championship? He had food poising from Mexico but still played in the Valspar Championship and finished T7. This course is a perfect step up for Stenson; he can pull the 3-wood and rip it down the fairway all week long.
Notables: Paul Casey 25/1 and Adam Hadwin 28/1
PARS OF THE COURSE
Webb Simpson 40/1 – Simpson is playing decent golf recently. A T5 at The Honda Classic and T37 at WGC-Mexico. He was T41 at this event last year and missed the cut two years ago. Obviously, that means to bet on Webb.
Ross Fisher 60/1 – Sitting at 60/1, Fisher is someone to take a look at. In the past two World Golf Championships, he has had one round that killed his chances to win. Although this field is strong Fisher might be a good long shot to win.
Notables: Kevin Streelman 60/1, Branden Grace 55/1
Brandt Snedeker 70/1 – This bogey buy might be one of the best picks all around. My money is on Snedeker. This course doesn’t call for a bomber; players have to hit fairways and be good putters. Sneds fits into both categories.
Chesson Hadley 90/1 – I’ll be the first to admit I missed on Hadley but I’m not ready to give up on him just yet. Way down at 90/1 Hadley is a solid play.
Notables: Bud Cauley 100/1 and Nick Watney 100/1
Stenson’s course history here might be the best there is. It just fits the big Swede’s eye. He threw down a first round 64 to get a T7 last year, and he was sick! Let’s throw some money at Stenson and get rich.
[button type=”big” color=”blue”] Pick: Henrik Stenson [/button]