Boston Red Sox (108-54) at New York Yankees (100-62)
MLB ALDS: Monday, October 8th 7:40 PM EST (Yankee Stadium)
Luis Severino (19-8 3.35 ERA) vs. Nathan Eovaldi (6-7 3.81 ERA)
Money Line: NYY -190/ BOS +160
FREE MLB PICK: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox will travel to New York to face the Yankees in a pivotal Game 3 of the ALDS. After taking Game 1, the Red Sox fell to the Yankees 6-2 on Saturday. Starting pitcher David Price struggled for the game, giving up 3 runs. Boston’s offense couldn’t keep up either, managing just 5 hits throughout the whole game. The Yankees, on the other hand, looked completely in sync. The bats were hot as they managed 8 hits with Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez both going deep. Sanchez was the star of this game, batting in 4 runs and going 4-5. Judge looks like he’s back to himself and that wrist doesn’t bother him at all. If Sanchez can stay this hot, the Yankees will be hard to beat.
Luis Severino is going to the mound for the Yankees. Severino pitched very well in the Wild Card game against Oakland, going 4 innings without giving up a run. Rick Porcello was going to be the starter for Game 3, but after pitching a relief inning in Game 1, it looks like he will be given an extra day of rest and will be counted on for Game 4. Eovaldi has faced the Yankees 4 times this year, going 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA. He has also given up just one homerun to the powerful Yankees offense over his 23 innings pitched. Eovaldi might feel more comfortable back in the Bronx, the former Yankee has a career ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of just 1.25. He might be exactly what the Red Sox need to slow down the Yankees, who have scored 7, 4, and 6 runs, respectively in their last 3 games. Severino has faced Boston 5 times this year, going 2-2. The Yankees are hoping that he pitches similar to his September 19th matchup against the Red Sox, where he pitched 7 innings and gave up just 1 run.
The Red Sox offense, above everything else, really needs to wake up. After the three-run dinger by J.D. Martinez in the first inning of Game 1, the Red Sox have just managed four runs over the last 17 innings. Alex Cora may tweak his lineup a bit to give the Red Sox a bit of juice. If not, it’s going to be another slow game for the Red Sox who have struggled to get anything going. Mookie Betts has only 1 hit through both games and as the leadoff guy, he’ll have to do much better than that. Thankfully, Xander Bogaerts has been hitting well and been able to get on base and make some noise.
The Yankees are dominating the Red Sox in total bases over the first two games, tallying 42 to the Sox’s 27. Boston desperately needs to find a way to get on base, whether it be through their hitting or getting walks. It may be hard against Severino, who posted a WHIP of just 1.14 this year, near the top of the league with pitchers over 190+ IP.
Coverthespread365 Betting Trends
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston’s last 7 games
Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees’s last 9 games
NY Yankees is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home
FREE MLB PREDICTION: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
With the Yankees continuing their hot offensive streak over the past few games and the Boston bats not being able to make any noise, look for the Yankees to strike first and stay ahead. Eovaldi has been solid in his career both against the Yankees and in New York, but he will be hard-pressed to keep them contained after David Price’s struggles in Game 2. Severino doesn’t have to do anything spectacular, just be solid. All the pressure is on Boston’s shoulders right now, and the Yankees have the momentum. When it comes to the money line, go for the Yankees in this Game 3 matchup.
Pick: New York Yankees -190