Baltimore Orioles (39-78) at New York Yankees (77-41) [Game 2]
MLB: Monday, August 12th, 2019 at 7:05 pm ET (Yankee Stadium)
Line and Odds: New York Yankees -310/Baltimore Orioles +272 Over/Under: 11.5
Free MLB Picks New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
When you break down Baltimore's statistical profile, it's easy to see why they are dead last in run differential. The Orioles' offense scores 4.36 runs per game, ranking 26th in run production. Similarly, they rank 25th with an on-base plus slugging % of .717. Baltimore is 24th in slugging percentage (.410) and 26th in on-base percentage (.307). The only batting statistic where Baltimore ranks higher than 20th is batting average on balls in play. They hit for a BABIP of .297, which ranks 17th in the MLB. As far as overall batting average, they rank 22nd in the Majors with a BA of .246. Their power numbers aren't any better. Baltimore ranks 23rd in isolated power (.164) and 27th in extra base hit percentage (7.9%). The Orioles are 22nd in terms of home run percentage, hitting home runs on 3.3% of their plate appearances. They also rank 22nd in strikeout percentage, striking out on 24.1% of their plate appearances. Baltimore's batters draw walks on just 7.2% of their plate appearances, ranking 26th in walk percentage. Long story short, the Orioles offense has been terrible.
As bad as they are at scoring runs, they are even worse at allowing them. Baltimore allows 6.33 runs per game, ranking 30th in runs allowed. They are dead last in a slew of pitching/defensive statistics, which I will get to in a moment. Let's start with the categories where they rank higher than last place. The Orioles defense ranks 9th with an opponents' BABIP of .294. They walk batters on 9.0% of their opponents' plate appearances, ranking 19th in opponents' walk percentage. Baltimore is 29th in opponents' batting average (.273), hits per game allowed (9.63) and opponents' OBP (.345). It gets worse. The Baltimore Orioles rank last in opponents' OPS, opponents' slugging percentage, opponents' isolated power and opponents' extra base hit %. Baltimore's pitchers rank last in opponents' home run percentage, opponents' strikeout percentage, WHIP, and strikeout-to-walk ratio.
New York's batting lineup has proven to be one of the most explosive in baseball. The Yankees score an average of 5.90 runs per game, ranking 1st in scoring. They rank in the top 5 in every major batting category, except strikeout percentage (where they rank 12th). The Yankees hit for power, hit for average, and draw walks. New York ranks 3rd in batting average (.271) and 4th in batting average on balls in play (.313). The Yankees are 2nd in the MLB with an on-base percentage of .344. Yankees' batters draw walks on 9.5% of their plate appearances, ranking 4th in walk percentage. New York's batting lineup offers the most consistent doses of power of any team in baseball. They hit home runs on 4.6% of their plate appearances, ranking 2nd in home run rate. 9.5% of their plate appearances end in extra base hits, which ranks them 5th in extra base hit percentage. The Yankees rank 3rd in slugging percentage (.484), isolated power (.213), and OPS (.829). It's going to be difficult for the Orioles to handle this powerful Yankees offense in this series.
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