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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

FREE MLB Pick New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox (2-1) vs. New York Yankees (1-2) 

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, October 8th, 8:07 pm ET (Yankee Stadium)

Odds: New York Yankees -125

Over/Under: 9

FREE MLB PICK New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

The New York Yankees (1-1) will look to stave off elimination, as they take on the Boston Red Sox (1-1) in Game 4 of the ALDS.

The Boston Red Sox will send Rick Porcello (17-7, 4.33) to the mound for his 10th visit against the Yankees. Porcello has not reached the 6th inning in each of his last starts, and has posted a 5.50 ERA over the last 7 games. The Red Sox have hit the OVER against New York in 6 out of their last 10 games, with the OVER coming in 4 of the last 5 games for Porcello. Offensively, the Red Sox will look to continue their offensive barrage, after compiling 16 runs and 18 hits en route to a Game 3 victory. Brock Holt was red-hot, hitting for the cycle and collecting 5 runs batted in.

New York will counter with left hander C.C. Sabathia (9-7, 3.65 ERA),  as this should be his first post-season appearance of the playoffs. Sabathia is tasked with keeping the Yankees playoff hopes alive, and will look to win his third straight start. Although Sabathia has been stellar as mentioned, his last 3 starts have also gone OVER, so the Yankees are providing him with plenty of run support (29 runs in his last 3 starts). New York will look to get going offensively, as they have only averaged a little over 3 runs per game in this series. During the regular season, the Yankees were second in all of baseball in runs scored (851), trailing only the Red Sox (876).

 Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends


Boston is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home

Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games at home

New York:

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games on the road

NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston

NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

FREE MLB PREDICTION Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

It’s hard to be sold on either pitcher being dominant despite recent trends, as both are fully capable of having a bad outing. As good as Sabathia was at the end of the regular season, I see him regressing more to the mean and exposing the Yankees bullpen for another night in a game where Aaron Boone used 6 different pitchers, including utility catcher Ausin Romine. The Yankees offense hasn’t looked great either, but they have averaged 5.5 runs in the last 10 games against the Red Sox, so this is another regression to the mean, as the Yankees should be able to scratch a couple more runs across the plate. The line is pretty close here, but I like this game to go OVER.



Here's a gift that takes a few minutes to buy and the recipient will benefit every day. Give a subscription to the Boston Globe. We cover every game the #RedSox, #Celtics, #Bruins and #Patriots play. No outlet gives you more Boston sports:

#RedSox and Nats paid a combined $14,337,188 in luxury tax.

Per the AP: First $13M funds player benefits and 50% of the remainder funds player IRAs. Rest is divided among non-taxed teams.

So Yankees get $23,878.35 — less than one Giancarlo Stanton plate appearance.

AP reports #RedSox paid $11.9 million in luxury tax. To put that in some perspective, they paid $47.5 million to have Pablo Sandoval go away and a $30 million penalty to sign Yoan Moncada. The tax is hardly some big deal.

#RedSox did not lose a player in the Rule 5 Draft.

As expected, #RedSox passed on making a selection in the Rule 5 Draft.

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J.A. Happ is the first free agent starting pitcher signed to a multi-year contract by the #Yankees since A.J. Burnett and CC Sabathia both signed on Dec. 18, 2008 (Masahiro Tanaka was signed in 2014 via the Japanese posting system).

The J.A. Happ signing is official. Two-year deal with a vesting option for 2021. Corresponding roster move: #Yankees designated Parker Bridwell for assignment.

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Beau Osborn
Beau Osborn
Hailing from Austin, Texas by way of Denver, Colorado, Beau has always had a passion for sport betting lines and blogging, and is an avid NFL and MMA fan. He graduated from the University of Mary-Hardin Baylor in Texas with a degree in Exercise Sport Science. Beau uses his regard for statistics, combined with a lot of film study and tendencies, to produce well-thought-out predictions and breakdowns.