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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

FREE MLB Pick New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox (2-1) vs. New York Yankees (1-2) 

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, October 8th, 8:07 pm ET (Yankee Stadium)

Odds: New York Yankees -125

Over/Under: 9

FREE MLB PICK New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

The New York Yankees (1-1) will look to stave off elimination, as they take on the Boston Red Sox (1-1) in Game 4 of the ALDS.

The Boston Red Sox will send Rick Porcello (17-7, 4.33) to the mound for his 10th visit against the Yankees. Porcello has not reached the 6th inning in each of his last starts, and has posted a 5.50 ERA over the last 7 games. The Red Sox have hit the OVER against New York in 6 out of their last 10 games, with the OVER coming in 4 of the last 5 games for Porcello. Offensively, the Red Sox will look to continue their offensive barrage, after compiling 16 runs and 18 hits en route to a Game 3 victory. Brock Holt was red-hot, hitting for the cycle and collecting 5 runs batted in.

New York will counter with left hander C.C. Sabathia (9-7, 3.65 ERA),  as this should be his first post-season appearance of the playoffs. Sabathia is tasked with keeping the Yankees playoff hopes alive, and will look to win his third straight start. Although Sabathia has been stellar as mentioned, his last 3 starts have also gone OVER, so the Yankees are providing him with plenty of run support (29 runs in his last 3 starts). New York will look to get going offensively, as they have only averaged a little over 3 runs per game in this series. During the regular season, the Yankees were second in all of baseball in runs scored (851), trailing only the Red Sox (876).

 Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends

Boston:

Boston is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home

Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games at home

New York:

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games on the road

NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston

NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

FREE MLB PREDICTION Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

It’s hard to be sold on either pitcher being dominant despite recent trends, as both are fully capable of having a bad outing. As good as Sabathia was at the end of the regular season, I see him regressing more to the mean and exposing the Yankees bullpen for another night in a game where Aaron Boone used 6 different pitchers, including utility catcher Ausin Romine. The Yankees offense hasn’t looked great either, but they have averaged 5.5 runs in the last 10 games against the Red Sox, so this is another regression to the mean, as the Yankees should be able to scratch a couple more runs across the plate. The line is pretty close here, but I like this game to go OVER.

Prediction: 

OVER 9

Chris Sale hospitalized in Boston. Could rejoin #RedSox tomorrow:

https://t.co/haqTGU48br

#RedSox: Chris Sale reported a stomach illness today and was admitted to MGH for observation this afternoon. He will be kept overnight for evaluation.

Quick start for the @RedSox.

Big mood in Boston. #ALCS

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Ballgame. The #Yankees’ season comes to an end with a 4-3 loss to the #RedSox in the American League Division Series. Thanks to everyone for following along through these 167 games. The final scorecard of 2018:

Gary Sanchez flies out to the warning track in left field. It's plenty to get the run home. #Yankees trail, 4-3. One out remaining.

Aroldis Chapman enters for the ninth. Three outs to midnight for the 2018 #Yankees.

#Yankees trim the deficit to 4-1 as Brett Gardner lifts a sac fly. Gary Sanchez scores the run.

Is this CC Sabathia's final line in a #Yankees uniform?

3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, 1 HBP, 1 WP

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Beau Osborn
Beau Osborn
Hailing from Austin, Texas by way of Denver, Colorado, Beau has always had a passion for sport betting lines and blogging, and is an avid NFL and MMA fan. He graduated from the University of Mary-Hardin Baylor in Texas with a degree in Exercise Sport Science. Beau uses his regard for statistics, combined with a lot of film study and tendencies, to produce well-thought-out predictions and breakdowns.
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