Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs 07-08-2018 Free MLB Pick, Odds and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds (39-50) at Chicago Cubs (50-36)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 8, 2018 at 04:20 pm (Wrigley Field)
Pitchers: Luis Castillo (5-8 5.53 ERA) vs Jon Lester (11-2 2.25 ERA)
Line and Odds: Cincinnati Reds +142/ Chicago Cubs -152 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Reds are at the beginning of a long road trip and are playing the final game of a 3 game series with the Cubs. These teams have split the first two games.
Cincinnati is another team that features good hitting but doesn’t pitch the ball well. As a team the Reds are 6th in batting average and 9th in runs. Scooter Gennett continues to be a big part in this offense. He leads the team with a .329 batting average. He has been on a hot streak as well. He has 9 hits, 3 walks and 5 RBIs over the past 5 games. The team is going to need Scooter and the rest of their offense to pick up their pitching. The Reds are starting a shaky young pitcher in Luis Castillo. He has had a few decent starts through the year but he’s consistently giving up 4-5 runs in only 5-6 innings of work. I would expect him to give up at least 4 runs against a team that hits as good as the Cubs.
I’ve already talked a little about the Cubs offense. This is one of the best offensive teams in baseball. They are 2nd in batting average and 5th in runs. The offense is in a groove. They have scoured double digit runs in 4 of their last 8 games. They have only scored less than 5 runs in once during that stretch. Expect this team to score runs with an inconstant Castillo pitching for the Reds. The big difference between these teams is pitching. They feature a much better team ERA and the Cubs are putting one of their best starters on the mound. In the NL, Lester is 1st in wins and 3rd in ERA. He has been on a tear lately too. He has kept his teams under 3 runs in his past 6 starts. He hasn’t walked many batters and kept pretty much-limited teams to only 5 hits. He has pitched 3 shutouts in his last 6 games.
Cover the Spread 365 Trends
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games
Chi Cubs is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs’s last 14 games at home
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 07-08-2018 Free MLB Pick, Odds and Prediction
Offensively these team don’t separate from each other. They both hit for average and both score runs. The problem is pitching. The Cubs are going to start the much better pitcher. Lester is also trending better. He has been great in his last 6 starts and Castillo has been mediocre. Lester also goes much deeper in games. Castillo will force the team to give the ball to bullpen earlier in the game. This is a big disadvantage. The Red’s bullpen in 19th in ERA. The Cubs bullpen is a strength, they are 5th in ERA. Everything point to the Cubs in this one. Take the Cubs -1.5!
[button type=”big” color=”red”] Pick: Cubs -1.5 [/button]