Cincinnati Reds (61-69) at Miami Marlins (47-83)
Tuesday, August 27th, 2019 7:10 EST (Marlins Park)
Spread: Reds (-155) Marlins (+145) O/U: 7
Free MLB Pick Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins
After coming away with a 6-3 victory in game one of this series, the Reds now look to continue to punish the Marlins in an effort to remain respectable this season. Last night, Sonny Gray went 6 innings, and gave up just 2 hits for 2 runs. Freddy Galvis also had a big night for Cincinnati, with 3 hits and 4 RBI's.
This is where I would normally analyze this Reds team, but for some context, I briefly need to discuss the Marlins. They're known for being notoriously bad when it comes to trading, and it was no exception when they dealed Luis Castillo not once, but twice. The second time around, in possibly one of the worst trades of all time, the Marlins traded Castillo, along with 2 other players, to the Reds for Dan Straily. Yes, you read that right. Castillo, who was an all star this year, and is one of the premier pitchers in the league, for Straily, who the Orioles sent down to Triple A earlier this season, and then waived, after posting a 9.34 ERA. I can't stop laughing. This is a fantastic article from FiveThirtyEight, illustrating how Miami have quite literally managed to trade away a World Series caliber roster over the years. Anyways, enough of that, let's talk Cincinnati baseball. Castillo is 12-5 in his starts this year, and has a 3.04 ERA to show for it. His walk rate has been higher than desirable, but he has upped his strikeout rate considerably. He's currently posting a career best 3.73 FIP. However, he hasn't been that steady as of late, with a 5.25 ERA in August.
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