Cincinnati Reds (41-51) at Cleveland Indians (49-41)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 11, 2018 at 7:10 pm (Progressive Field)
Tyler Mahle (7-6, 3.66 ERA) vs. Carlos Carrasco (9-5, 4.28 ERA)
Line and Odds: +175 Reds / Indians -200 — Over/Under: 9
FREE MLB PICK CLEVELAND INDIANS VS. CINCINATTI REDS
The interleague series between the Reds and the Indians comes to a close Wednesday night. After two previous games, the battle of Ohio has already named a winner: The Cincinnati Reds, who are searching for a sweep in this game.
A heartbreaking loss for the Cleveland Indians in last night’s incredible game. Trevor Bauer put on a pitching clinic for 8 innings on Tuesday. When he left the mound, the Indians were up 4-0. And then, like a jenga tower built by a 2-year-old, it all just fell apart. In one inning, the score flipped from l an easy Indians win, to a 7-4 stunning loss. Unfortunately, this is just the continuation of a slide for the Indians, who have lost 4 straight games and are 5-5 in their last 10. And yet, they have given themselves a fairly large cushion for first place in the AL Central with an 8.5 game lead over the second place Minnesota Twins. Pitcher Carlos Carrasco looks to take a page out of Trevor Bauer’s book Wednesday, as he continues his comeback from the DL (his second start.) In his first game back last Friday, he allowed 3 runs, 7 hits, no walks, and threw 7 strikeouts in 5 1/3 innings of action. As a team, the Indians look to improve on their mistakes and miscommunications from the previous game to avoid the Ohio-series-sweep.
Unlike the Indians, the Cincinnati Reds find themselves at the bottom of their divisional standings, despite the 7-3 record in their previous 10 games. Joey Votto certainly came up as the hero in the last game (top of the ninth, bases loaded, two outs, full count, down by 1) as he doubled to seize victory from the jaws of defeat, highlighting a team with an offense that can compete with almost any other club in the league. Even more good news for the Reds is that they have their Ace, Tyler Mahle, on the mound in the closing of this series. His 4-0 record and 2.04 ERA in his last 7 starts is certainly impressive to say the least. As the Reds only true bright spot in the bullpen, he looks to match or beat his career-high 6 2/3 innings of action (previously set on Friday in a win vs. the Cubs,) avoiding their team’s bottom-end pitching for as long as possible.
Cover The Spread 365 MLB Betting Trends
Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians are 9-1 in Carrascos last 10 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Reds are 7-1 in Mahles last 8 starts.
Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Free MLB Prediction Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians
The Cincinnati Reds have certainly shown that they are a team on the upswing in this series. Somehow, someway, they have found ways to win. With that said, the Indians are a number 1 divisional team for a reason. They’re top 10 in the league in every major batting category and are top 15 in every major pitching category. They have shown a fairly decent balance throughout the year. The Reds offense has been impressive as well, ranking just behind the Indians in a few categories (including runs and RBIs) and ranking just ahead of them in a few as well (hits and batting average.) Where I see the major difference between these teams is their pitching, a position with which the Reds have struggled all year. Because of this and the fact that I don’t envision a top-tier team allowing themselves to get swept by a team that are at least a year or two away from being relevant, I’m choosing the Indians to win this one and I’m taking the OVER as well (although I believe there would be some value in a Reds pick with Cleveland being a -200 favorite.)