Cleveland Indians (8-6) at Kansas City Royals (4-10)
MLB Regular Season, Sunday, 14th April 2019 at Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
The Line —Kansas City Royals +130 / Cleveland Indians -152
Free ESPN MLB Pick Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals.
Cleveland Indians: The Indians will look to avoid the sweep after being shutout in game two by a final score of 3-0. The Indians will finish off the series by sending right-handed ace Corey Kluber to the hill after he posted his second quality start of the season last time out against the Detroit Tigers. Kluber pitched six innings of two-run (one-earned) ball, while striking out eight Tigers batters and walking just one in six innings of work to notch his first victory of the season. The 33-year-old comes in with a 1-2 overall record to go along with a 3.86 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 16 ⅓ innings of work. He’s been solid in his two road starts, compiling a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings away from Progressive Field. Kluber had his way with the Royals last season, going 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA in five starts, but he struggled at Kauffman Stadium, where he posted a 6.06 ERA in three outings. He has dominated the Royals over the past three seasons, posting a 7-2 record and a 2.70 ERA in 11 starts against Kansas City since 2016. But, if he’s going to get his second win of the season, he’s going to need some run support from an Indians offense that ranks near the bottom of the MLB in several offensive categories.
Brad Miller accounted for all of Cleveland’s offense in the losing effort, going 2 for 3 with a double as the rest of the Tribe ended up going 0 for 25 with 7 strikeouts. Jefry Rodriguez ended up with the loss on the mound, falling to 0-1 on the year after allowing two runs on five hits while striking out three over 5.2 innings of work. Corey Kluber will start the finale and is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. In his career, Kluber is 12-7 with a 3.09 ERA and 165 strikeouts against Kansas City.
According to Baseball Savant, the current Royals roster is batting .211 in 165 plate appearances versus the Indians’ right-hander. StatCast data predicts an expected batting average of .223 and an expected weighted on-base percentage of .283 for Royals hitters against Kluber heading into Sunday’s start. Cleveland has scored just 42 runs through 15 games, while slashing .199/.262/.312 at the dish as a team.
Kansas City Royals: The Royals on the other hand, will look to pull off the surprising sweep of the Indians after taking game two on Saturday.
Kansas City will counter with right-hander Jakob Junis, who is fresh off of his first loss of the season. Junis allowed a season-high four earned runs on eight hits, while lasting just four innings in a 6-3 loss to the Seattle Mariners. He comes in with a 1-1 overall record to go along with a 5.74 ERA, but he’s upped his strikeout rate through three starts. The Royals’ ace has 20 strikeouts in just 15 ⅓ innings of work and is fanning 11.49 batters per nine through his first three outings. He made four starts versus the Tribe last year, going 2-2 with a 5.64 ERA in 2018. Apart from him, Ryan O’Hearn had a solo homer while Whit Merrifield went 2 for 4 with an RBI and Adalberto Mondesi added an RBI as well to round out KC’s scoring in the win. Hunter Dozier chipped in a pair of base hits while Martin Maldonado had a base hit as well in the winning effort. Homer Bailey got the win to improve to 1-1 on the year after throwing seven scoreless frames, giving up just two hits while striking out six. Wily Peralta closed out the 9th for his 1st save of the season.
According to Baseball Savant, Indians hitters are batting .317 in 47 plate appearances versus Junis. StatCast data pegs Cleveland for an expected batting average of .236 and an expected slugging percentage of .315 for Sunday’s matchup. But, despite their 3-10 overall record, Kansas City ranks in the middle of the pack offensively. They have scored 62 runs in 13 games, while batting .246/.311/.425 at the plate so far this year.
Cover The Spread Betting Trends:
Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road.
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 9 games on the road.
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City.
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City.
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
Cleveland is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games.
Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games.
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland.
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland.
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland.
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland.
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Kansas City is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City’s last 13 games.
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Kansas City is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City’s last 10 games at home.
ESPN MLB Scores Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians.
Cleveland has scored just one run in the first two games of the series. But Klauber seems to have sttled in well as has Junis for the Royals and yet he’s still given up at least three runs in each of his starts so far this season and has an ERA well over five against Cleveland in his career. However, all this should earn them at least one win.