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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Los Angeles Dodgers (0-0) vs Milwaukee Brewers (0-0)

MLB: Friday, October 12, 2018, at 8:09 pm ET (Miller Park)

Clayton Kershaw vs. Jhoulys Chacin

Lines & Odds: Los Angeles -150/ Milwaukee +140 .Over/Under: 7

Free MLB Postseason Prediction Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers

The Los Angeles Dodgers continue their postseason run in hopes of getting back to the World Series. But they go through Milwaukee against NL MVP favorite Christian Yelich and the Brewers.

Los Angeles dominated Atlanta in the NLDS dropping just one game. The Dodgers got strong pitching performances from their starters and the staff as a whole shutout the Braves in two of four games. Hyn-jin Ryu and Clayton Kershaw will presumably lead the pitching staff once again, but against a high-powered Brewers’ offense the Dodgers will need better outings from Walker Buehler and Rich Hill to keep from exhausting the bullpen. In a matchup that seems like it could go the full seven games, consistent production at the plate will be vital as well – especially early on against the weak starting rotation of the Brewers. Los Angeles has gotten enough offense so far with most of the runs coming off the bats of Manny Machado and Max Muncy.

However, Justin Turner continues to be their most reliable hitter, while Yasiel Puig and Joc Pederson have once again been key contributors in the postseason for the second year in a row. Cody Bellinger will need to put the barrel on the ball eventually though as Machado and Muncy’s three homers and 10 RBIs have been enough to cover up his 0 for 11 performance at the plate against Atlanta. On the mound, Kershaw will likely get the start after not being needed for a decisive Game 5 and despite a drop in velocity, the 3x NL Cy Young winner still looks unhittable. In his one start so far, Kershaw pitched 8 innings, gave up two hits, no runs and struck out three. The strikeouts were unusually low, yet he was still effective. Look for manager Dave Roberts to go with his ace for Game 1 this time around with confidence to shut down the potent Milwaukee offense.

Milwaukee reaches the NLCS for the first time since 2011 and is arguably the hottest team in baseball sine the All-Star break. At this point it’s hard to imagine anyone in the NL but Christian Yelich receiving the Most Valuable Player award after being a couple homers and RBIs away from the Triple Crown in the regular season. While his MVP-esque season hasn’t transferred to the postseason initially, his impact at the plate has. A large portion of his hitting being down has to do with Colorado pitchers pitching around him as Yelich was walked for a postseason high six times. Mind you that was in three games, and while Yelich has made his presence of the offense has also produced. Ryan Braun, Mike Moustakas and Travis Shaw are all hitting for at least .364 or higher and even the guys at bottom of the order gave the Rockies’ pitchers fits.

Lorenzo Cain and Jesus Aguilar will need to be more effective against a strong pitching staff, and more importantly against the starters, in order for them to make a bid at the World Series. The starting pitching will need to do the same as it’s mostly been a staff getting it done as a committee. Jhoulys Chcin will likely get the start as their most reliable pitcher in the rotation and he’s been effective in big situations. He’s given up one earned run in his past two starts against the Chicago Cubs and the Rockies. And so long as the starters can go at least the minimum to pick up a win, a bullpen with Josh Hader, Jeremy Jeffress, Corey Knebel, etc should be able to finish out games so long as they have more runs on the board.

Cover the Spread 365 Trends:

Los Angeles

Dodgers  are 72-22 in Kershaw’s last 94 starts

Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the NL Central while

the over is 3-0-1 in the Dodgers last 4 road games

Los Angeles is 5-2 in Kershaw’s last 7 road starts against

Milwaukee

Milwaukee is 23-6 in their last 29 games overall

Milwaukee IS 14-3 in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record while

The under is 7-3 in Milwaukees last 10 home games

Free MLB Postseason Prediction Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Game 1 could either be a tight one or a completely one-sided. The two clubs met seven times in 2018, with the Dodgers taking four of them. Their final matchup of the regular season consisted of the two probable pitchers, but ended up being Chacin’s worst outing of the season and the Brew Crew lost a resounding 21-5 in Los Angeles. Milwaukee’s much improved then though making a few splash moves before at both the waiver and non-waiver deadline. Most of their offense so far hasn’t come via the long ball, but from stringing together consecutive hits and getting guys in position to score. Against Kershaw, they will need to take that same approach and while the Dodgers are a tall task to take down, I think the Brewers at home take the first game of the series.

 

Pick: Brewers +140

 

 

Anthony Sigismond
Anthony Sigismond
Anthony is an expert who gives unparalleled advice when it comes to the NBA, NFL and college sports. His slogan is "Eye Test Sports Without Stats" and that's exactly what you are going to get here. No fancy stats, just observation and analysis!
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