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Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers

Minnesota Twins (73-48) at Texas Rangers (60-61)

MLB: Friday, August 16th, 2019 at 8:05 pm ET (Global Life Park in Arlington)

Line and Odds: Texas Rangers -110/Minnesota Twins +100 Over/Under: 10

Free MLB Picks Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins

Minnesota

Minnesota ranks 2nd in scoring production, averaging 5.79 runs per game. Because of their explosive bats, they rank 4th in the MLB in run differential. The dynamism of the Twins offense is driven by their power. They hit home runs on 4.9% of their plate appearances, ranking them #1 in the MLB in home run percentage. The Twins are also #1 in terms of slugging percentage (.499) and isolated power (.229). Minnesota gets extra base hits on 10.4% of their plate appearances and 42.8% of their hits go for extra bases (both rank #1 in baseball). Minnesota ranks 4th in batting average, hitting for an average of .270. They are 6th in on base percentage (.337) and 2nd in OPS (.836). They're able to match their power with the plate discipline to avoid strikeouts. Minnesota's batting lineup ranks 4th in strikeout percentage (20.6%). As great as their batters have been this season, they do get into trouble when it comes to base running. The Twins rank 30th (out of 30 MLB teams) with a stolen base percentage of 56.8%.

Their pitching isn't quite as good as the batting lineup, but they have been solid this season. Minnesota gives up 4.67 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in the MLB in runs allowed. The strength of the Twins pitching staff is the ability to limit their opponent's power. Minnesota's pitchers give up home runs on 3.3% of their opponents' plate appearances, ranking 5th in opponents' home run rate. They allow opponents to hit extra base hits on 7.9% of their plate appearances, ranking 6th in extra base hit %. The Twins rank 4th in opponents' isolated power (.163) and 9th in opponents' slugging percentage (.417). The pitching staff also limits walks, ranking 4th with a walk percentage of 7.5%.

The Twins rank 9th in WHIP and 6th in strikeout-to-walk ratio. However, it is possible to hit for average against Minnesota. The Twins rank 17th in both opponents' batting average and opponents' BABIP. Today's starting pitcher for the Minnesota Twins will be Jake Odorizzi. The 29-year-old right-hander has been the Twins' 2nd best starter this season, behind Jose Berrios. Odorizzi has started 23 games and gone for a total of 120 innings. He currently has a 3.44 ERA, a 1.222 WHIP, and a 2.86 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Odorizzi gives up 7.7 hits, 1.1 home runs, and 3.59 runs per 9 innings.

Texas

The Rangers score 5.12 runs per game, ranking 9th in the MLB in run production. In totality, Texas has a top 10 offense and a unique statistical profile. One of the Rangers' biggest strengths is their baserunning. According to Fangraphs, they rank #1 in terms of runs produced through baserunning. They lead the MLB in stolen bases per game (0.77 per game) and rank 8th in stolen base % (75.0%). Texas ranks 8th in batting average on balls in play with a BABIP of (.307).

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