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New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

New York Yankees (90-55) v Minnesota Twins (66-78)

MLB: Wednesday, September 12, 2018 @ 8:10 pm (Target Field)

Lines and Odds: New York -210 v Minnesota +190  Over/Under  8.5

FREE MLB PICK: New York Yankees v Minnesota Twins

The New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins wrap up their three-game series at Target Field tonight. The Yankees opened the series with a 7-2 win. Minnesota knotted the series with a 10-5 win in the second game.

 

New York Yankees

The New York Yankees are one of just three teams in all of baseball to have reached the 90 win mark at this point in the season. In any other division, this would be good enough for a big lead going down the stretch. Unfortunately for them, however, they play in the American League East, where they sit nine back of Boston.

Give credit where credit is due. They already had a good offense coming into 2018. Everyone knew that Aaron Judge would factor into the MVP race, but he has been out with a wrist injury for the last month. While Giancarlo Stanton continues to do his thing (33 homers with a ghastly 195 strikeouts) it has been the rookies getting the job done. Does anyone want to place a bet that Gleyber Torres (slash line .270, 23, 70) and Miguel Andujar (.299, 23, 79) will finish one-two in the AL Rookie of the Year voting?

That being said, the pitching staff still has question marks. Who is finally going to take control of the wheel behind Luis Severino? Masahiro Tanaka has been sharp in his two September starts, going 15 innings with one earned run and 16 strikeouts. Can he keep it going? Will Sonny Gray, Lance Lynn, or CC Sabathia right the ship in time to give the Yankees a viable option? What about JA Happ, who has yet to lose a decision for the Bombers?

Severino takes the hill in Minneapolis tonight. He sits in third in the AL with 17 wins, while posting a 3.52 ERA. His last 11 starts have been ugly, as he has a 6.83 ERA in that span. Severino recorded a quality start (6+ innings, 3 or fewer runs) in just two of those starts.

 

Minnesota Twins

A Tale of Two Cities is not just a Charles Dickens novel. It is the best way to describe the Minnesota Twins season up to this point. Currently, the Twins boast a 42-31 record at Target Field. If you were to have them play anywhere else, it’s almost as if they forgot the fundamentals. They hit better at home (.258 to .232). They drive the ball better at home (81 homers at Target Field to 70 away). The pitching has been better at home (ERAs of 4.35 to 4.93). The Twins had playoff aspirations after overachieving in 2017 and then going out to make moves to bolster their pitching staff. Instead, they fell flat on their face, and their inability to win away games has been the main culprit.

Eddie Rosario continues to be a bright for the Twins lineup. In 133 games, Rosario has posted a .289 average with 23 homers and 75 runs batted in. These aren’t MVP numbers, of course, but they are respectable. Eduardo Escobar has been a solid contributor for Minnesota’s offense as well, batting .274 with 15 homers and 63 runs batted in. Outside of these two, there isn’t anyone in this lineup that poses a serious threat.

Jake Odorizzi gets the nod for the Twins in this one. He comes in with a 5-10 record and a 4.57 ERA. Odorizzi was hit hard in his last start against Houston, giving up five runs and four walks over 4.2 innings.

 

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Good teams need to beat the bad ones anywhere, and the New York Yankees have shown they can do that. In their last 12 road games against teams with losing records, the Yankees are 10-2. While Severino personally has struggled since July 7, the Yankees have not. They are 8-1 in his last 9 starts against the American League Central, and 7-1 in his last eight road starts against sub-.500 teams. The only knock against the Yankees has been their inability to win on a Wednesday. New York has a four-game hump day losing streak. Quick note: New York’s road record and Minnesota’s home record are an identical 42-31.

The Minnesota Twins have struggled over the last two and a half weeks, going 5-12 in their last 17. The chain of momentum being broken can explain most of the struggles for this team. Minnesota has dropped each of their last four games after scoring five or more runs the previous day. With their offense not able to get going again, it is hard for them to win. They have dropped each of their last eight games following wins. This team needs the offense to click, and they have struggled to do that with any consistency.

FREE MLB PICK: New York Yankees v Minnesota Twins

I have to take the New York Yankees in this one. The starting pitching matchup in itself may be ugly, as the to pitchers continue to trend in the wrong direction. Even with Severino struggling, the Yankees find ways to win when he takes the hill. The same cannot be said about the Twins with Odorizzi.

Pick: New York Yankees -210

 

Adam Darling
Adam Darling
A New Englander transplanted to the Deep South, Adam goes all over the map for his teams. He recently finished his degree in journalism and history at the University of Maine and has featured on Eastern Bias and Casual Hoya to discuss Black Bear hockey and basketball. He hosted his own baseball talk show for WMEB 91.9 FM and has written and edited for The Maine Campus.
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