New York Yankees (103-59) at Houston Astros (107-55)
MLB: Saturday, October 19th, 2019 at 8:08 pm ET (Minute Maid Park)
Line and Odds: Houston Astros -135/New York Yankees +122 Over/Under: 9
Free ESPN MLB Picks Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
The New York Yankees were able to stave off elimination with yesterday’s 4-1 win over the Houston Astros in game 5 in American League Championship Series. The Yankees did all of their major damage in the 1st inning. It actually looked like the Astros were on their way to a series-clinching win based on how the top of the 1st was playing out. Yankees pitcher James Paxton was struggling with his control in the early stages. After giving up a single to George Springer, the Astros benefited from a passed ball, a walk, and a wild pitch to go up 1-0. This was the point in the game where the Yankees took control of the game and never looked back.
DJ LeMahieu hit a 355 foot home run as the 1st inning leadoff batter. He hit that home run on Justin Verlander’s 2nd pitch of the night, a 94 mph four-seam fastball. This was immediately followed by an Aaron Judge single and a Gleyber Torres double. After a strikeout from Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Hicks put the game out of reach with a 347-foot 3-run homer. For the entire rest of the game, the Yankees got just 1 hit. A Didi Gregorius single in the 4th inning was the only baserunner the Yankees were able to get on base for the rest of the night. As it turned out, they wouldn’t need to score another run. James Paxton threw 6 innings of 1-run ball and the Yankees will take the series back to Houston.
The Houston Astros missed out on an opportunity to close out the the American League Championship Series in 5 games last night, with one of their aces on the mound. The positive thing for the Astros is that they get to go home with 2 more chances to clinch the series win. Minute Maid Park is a comfortable spot for them as they had baseball’s best home record in the regular season. The Astros went 60-22 at home during the regular season, and they’ve gone 4-1 in Houston thus far in the postseason. If you told Houston (after splitting the first two games of the series) that they’d take 2 of 3 in the Bronx, they would’ve been happy to take that. However, it is inarguable that they blew wasted a great chance to finish off the Yankees in Game 5.
They were unable to recover from a poor 1st inning from Justin Verlander. Once Verlander gave up 4 runs before recording his 2nd out, the game was pretty much over. Even though Verlander recovered well and prevented New York from putting up any more runs on the scoreboard, the Astros’ batters failed to make an impact. After the 1st inning, they were only able to get runners in scoring position twice on the night. Carlos Correa reached 2nd base in the 2nd inning, only to see George Springer strike out to end the inning. In the 7th inning, George Springer made it to 3rd base before Alex Bregman lined out to center to end the inning. Houston just could not get their offense going on Saturday.
Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’ last 6 games.
The NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Houston.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’ last 5 games on the road.
Houston is 12-5 SU in their last 17 games.
Houston is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games this season.
ESPN MLB Scores New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
I’m taking the Astros -135 in this matchup. Both teams are having a “bullpen game.” Each team will begin the game with an “opener” on the mound, as opposed to a starter. In this situation, the edge goes to the Houston Astros. Houston has a decisive edge when it comes to their bullpen. Houston’s bullpen ranked 2nd in all of baseball with an ERA of 3.75. They ranked 1st with an xFIP of 4.06. Houston’s relievers also finished 1st with a left on base percentage of 77.6%. They are 6th in BB/9 and 5th in K/9. New York’s bullpen is pretty strong as well, ranking 9th in ERA. However, Houston gets the edge here. With Houston, I get the better pitching, better defense, and a comparable offense. I’m also getting the home team on a fairly short number with a chance to clinch a spot in the World Series. Take the Astros in this spot.