MLB Rookie of the Year 2019
Earlier on in March, Las Vegas SuperBook released the MLB Rookie of the Year odds. This is somewhat shocking, as these odds are not typically released before the season starts, unlike the MVP or Cy Young award odds. Obviously, this year sparks more curiosity as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., one of the highest touted prospects in recent memory, is set to start for the Blue Jays. He will not have a ton of help in the lineup, more on this later. Rookie of the Year odds is always very hard to predict, especially with how ambiguous the MLB is with who is considered a rookie or not. With that being said, I am going to highlight some of the top-rated rookies this season, and pick which is worth the value
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
As mentioned above, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the highest touted prospects in the last decade. Since being selected as an international prospect at the age of 16, Guerrero Jr. has done nothing but impress scouts and fans. Last season across A, AA, and AAA ball, Guerrero Jr.’s batting numbers were staggering. In 95 games, he batted .381, hit 20 home runs, knocked in 79 RBI, and amassed an OPS of 1.073.
Right now, the downside of Guerrero Jr. is not his overall skill, but his conditioning. He came into camp looking a bit overweight, which is premature seeing as he is 20 years old. But, he did sustain an oblique injury which will sideline him for a couple of weeks. If we are picking nits, this is the only thing I can find on this amazing prospect.
The former Gatorade Player of the Year, Justus Sheffield was the prime trading piece that the Yankees dealt for James Paxton. Sheffield now lives in Seattle and is projected to be the sixth starter for the Mariners. The 22-year-old lefty appeared in 2.2 innings for the Yankees last year, so he maintains his rookie status.
Sheffield pitched beautifully in the minors last season. Over 116 innings, Sheffield compiled a 2.48 ERA, struck out 123 batters, and recorded a WHIP of 1.138. These amazing stats are going to be reciprocated in the majors in the next couple of seasons. Sheffield throws 98 mph and mixes in his off-speed pitches very well. If he can get the innings he needs, +1500 looks like great odds for Sheffield.
This is the value pick that could pay huge dividends. Danny Jansen is the less talked about rookie on the Blue Jays but could end up playing a big part of the teams future. Am I saying that Toronto is going to win the division? Definitely not. But, Jansen could put together a great season to make the race with Guerrero Jr. more fun.
The Blue Jays moved on from Russell Martin, giving Jansen the lion share of the at-bats in Toronto. He played 31 games last season, which makes almost no sense how he can still be considered a rookie. Nonetheless, Jansen projects to be one of the best hitting catchers in the game. If he can produce at the plate, and control the pitching staff, +2500 seems very tempting.
Pick: Danny Jansen +2500
American League Rookie of the Year Odds
|Vladimir Guerrero Jr.||TOR||+125||-125|