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San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

San Francisco Giants (18-24) at Arizona Diamondbacks (24-20)
Friday, May 17th, 2019 9:40 EST (Chase Field)
Spread: Giants (+127) Diamondbacks (-137) O/U: 9

Free MLB Pick San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks

We’ve got another game to cover out in Arizona, yet again! This time they’re squaring off against the Giants, who have been far from great as of late. Both teams are coming off rest days, so the lineups are as usual for the most part.

Giants

Jumping into things, let’s at least recognize one positive of this club. Their bullpen is good. They’ve taken a turn for the worst in this last week or so, but nonetheless it is most definitely still the strongest part of this team. However, their starters continue to struggle, so rarely does a reliever actually enter a good situation. Jeff Samardzija is going to attempt to create one of those instances tonight. After putting up some horrendous numbers last year, he’s settled down a bit. Granted, with his age, I would not be surprised in the slightest if we see a massive decline in production at the flip of a switch. The biggest problem that still remains for this squad though, is their hitting. Or rather, the lack thereof. Their lineup continues to be atrocious, with just one man hitting over .260 in Pablo Sandoval. Steve Duggar is the only one that has reached 20 RBI’s. 4 players for the Diamondbacks are well past that mark, and there is only a single man in their lineup who is batting less than .260.

Diamondbacks

I still don’t know what to think of Merrill Kelly, the starter for Arizona tonight. He didn’t pitch great during his stint in Korea, and now at 30 years old and in his first year in the MLB, he’s not pitching well here either. I don’t think he’s horrendous, and with the proper coaching I could see him sticking around for a little bit, but that’s wishful thinking. As I previously mentioned, the Diamondbacks have a massive hitting differential over the Giants. What they don’t have however, are good relievers. They are undeniably at a disadvantage when it comes to the bullpen match up.

Cover the Spread Trends

Giants

2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of their last 5 road games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 11 games.

Diamondbacks

2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games against San Francisco.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of their last 9 home games.

Free MLB Pick Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco

Just because of the hitting alone, I can’t not take Arizona here. They hold a big advantage over the Giants head there, and I don’t think San Francisco is going to be able to pitch their way out of this thing. Late in the game is where things could get messy, and where the Giants have the most potential to succeed, but I just don’t see them having the bats to be able to do so.

My Pick: Diamondbacks ML -137 (5Dimes)

Jason Guinn
Jason Guinn
I'm what you would call a sports junkie, I live and breathe this stuff. I love to cover both professional and collegiate baseball, basketball, and football. There's nothing better than beating the books, and that's exactly what I try to do each and every day. You'll find me using sabermetrics, as well as other analytical approaches to break down games, and help you succeed.
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