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San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants (68-73) at Los Angeles Dodgers (92-51)

MLB: Saturday, September 7th, 2019 at 9:10 pm ET (Dodger Stadium)

Line and Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers -225/San Francisco Giants +201 Over/Under: 9.5

Free ESPN MLB Picks Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco

The San Francisco Giants have had a problem getting runs home all year. They rank 26th in scoring, putting up 4.35 runs per game. San Francisco is 25th in the MLB with 13.82 total bases per game. The Giants have an on base plus slugging percentage of .707, ranking 28th in OPS. They are one of the 5 worst offenses in the Majors in terms of hitting for power, hitting for average, and getting on base. They rank 26th in isolated power (.161), batting average (.241), and slugging percentage (.403). Giants’ batters hit home runs on 2.9% of their plate appearances which ranks them 25th in home run percentage. They get extra base hits on 8.4% of their plate appearances, ranking 22nd in extra base hit percentage. They rank 25th in batting average on balls in play, with a BABIP of .289. San Francisco batters draw walks on 7.7% of their plate appearances, ranking 23rd in walk percentage. With such low stats across the board, it makes sense that they rank 27th in on base percentage.

The Giants’ pitching and fielding has been able to keep the team afloat while the offense struggles. San Francisco allows 4.84 runs per game, which ranks them 15th in runs allowed. The Giants allow 15.07 total bases per game, which makes SF 18th in total bases allowed. Their opponents’ on base plus slugging percentage of .758 ranks 16th in the MLB. They rank 16th in opponents’ slugging percentage and 14th in opponents’ on base percentage. San Francisco’s pitching staff has a 1.317 WHIP, which ranks 13th in the Majors. The Giants have strong fielders as evidenced by their #10 ranking in BABIP. San Francisco will send Tyler Beede to the mound as today’s starting pitcher. The 26-year-old right-hander is in his 1st season starting in the Major Leagues. He has pitched 96 and 1/3 innings in 20 pitching appearances (18 as a starter, 2 as a reliever) this season. Beede has compiled a 5.61 ERA, 1.588 WHIP, and 2.28 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He has given up 10.6 hits, 1.9 home runs, and 5.98 runs per 9 innings. Beede has shown a lack of control with his pitches, ranking 6th in the NL with 8 wild pitches.

Los Angeles

The Los Angeles Dodgers may be the most well-rounded team in baseball. They have a massive amount of talent and they have relatively few weaknesses. The Dodgers’ offense scores 5.50 runs per game. L.A. ranks 5th in both runs per game and total bases per game. Los Angeles’ batting lineup hits for 16.22 total bases per outing. The Dodgers also rank 5th in on base plus slugging percentage and slugging percentage. Los Angeles is good at hitting for average, but great at hitting for power. Their battling lineup ranks 9th in batting average, hitting .259 at the plate this season. They rank 3rd in both isolated power and home run %. The Dodgers have an isolated power of .219 and a home run rate of 4.5%. 42.8% of their hits go for extra bases, the highest rate in all of baseball. 9.7% of their plate appearances result in extra bases, a number that ranks 4th-best in the Majors. L.A. ranks in the top 10 in on base percentage (3rd), offensive strikeout percentage (9th), and walk percentage (2nd). It is very hard to find an offensive statistic that looks bad for the Dodgers.

The pitching and fielding for the Dodgers has performed at an even higher-level than the offense! They are near the top in almost every major defensive category. Los Angeles allows 3.90 runs per game, ranking 1st in the MLB in runs allowed. They also rank 1st in total bases allowed, giving up 12.97 total bases per outing. Their opponents’ OPS of .672 is the best mark in the Major Leagues. The Dodgers excel at prevent teams from getting on base, ranking 1st in opponents’ on base percentage (.284). L.A. pitchers walk batters on just 6.4% of their opponents’ plate appearances, ranking them 1st in walk percentage. The Dodgers’ pitching staff also ranks #1 with a WHIP of 1.112. Los Angeles ranks 5th in opponents’ isolated power, 6th in opponents’ home run rate, and 5th in opponents’ extra base hit percentage. They rank 2nd in opponents’ batting average and opponents’ BABIP. Today’s starter for the Los Angeles Dodgers will be Tony Gonsolin. Los Angeles drafted him in the 9th round of the 2016 draft, and Tony was able to work his way through the farm system. Gonsolin has only made 6 appearances as a pitcher in the Majors. He was the starter for 5 of those appearances and a reliever in the other. The young right-hander has pitched a total of 28 innings with a record of 2-1. Gonsolin has an ERA of 2.89, a WHIP of 0.964, and a 3.67 strikeout-to-ratio, this season. He has given up 6.8 hits, 1.0 home runs, and 3.54 runs per 9 innings.

Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends

Giants

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games.

San Francisco is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games.

San Francisco is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against LA Dodgers.

Dodgers

The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Dodgers’ last 10 games.

The LA Dodgers are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Dodgers’ last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco.

ESPN MLB Scores San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

I’m taking the Los Angeles -1.5 runline at -120. I think this is a good spot for a Dodgers blowout. Los Angeles is playing for homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. They are in a chase with the Astros and Yankees for the best record in baseball. Every game is key for the Dodgers as they head down the stretch. On the flip side, the Giants don’t have much to play for. They flirted with a playoff berth earlier in the season, but they faltered after the trade deadline. Los Angeles is the more motivated team. The Dodgers also have the much better team in all phases of the game. I give Los Angeles a slight pitching advantage in this matchup to go along with the homefield advantage. They are also coming off of a loss, and they know they can’t afford too many more. This is a perfect spot to take the Dodgers on the runline.

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
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