Kansas City Royals (17-22) vs. Texas Rangers (15-27)
MLB: Wednesday, May 15, 2019 5:00 PM PT (Kauffman Stadium)
Money Line: Rangers -135 / Royals +125 — Over/Under: 9.5
Free MLB Pick Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers
Yesterday, the Texas Rangers came into Kansas City and got obliterated by the Royals, 5-11. The Rangers SP Shelby Miller gave up 8 runs in 1.2 IP, raising his season ERA to 9.81. Easily the worst among starters. And the Royals 2B Whit Merrifield got his 500th hit after a 3-hit night. Tonight, LHP Mike Minor (3-3, 2.68 ERA) will take the mound for the Rangers, dueling against RHP Jorge Lopez (0-4, 6.07 ERA).
The Texas Rangers have lost 5 in a row. The last three games they’ve given up more than 10 runs in each game, losing by wide margins. Their offense played well, as they have for most of the season. Joey Gallo went 2-4 with 2 RBIs. Logan Forsythe went 3-4. Yet Shin-Soo Choo went hitless as did Hunter Pence, easily their hottest hitters. Elvis Andrus left the game early and is day-to-day. As a team, they produced solid 5-run support. But to no avail. Their pitching seems to be their biggest problem this season. Last night, Shelby Miller got destroyed – again. Using four relievers to finish the game, they gave up 7 hits, 3 ER and only struck out 3 batters.
Texas team pitching ranks the worst in ERA (5.52), K/9 (7.68) and BA (.278). And yet they rank first in Run Support (5.59). Only two RP have been viable options for the Rangers in Shawn Kelley (1.29 ERA) and Chris Martin (2.93). And for SP, truly the only good SP on the roster has been Mike Minor. And he plays exceptionally well, probably an All-Star if he can keep it up. He ranks 6th in the AL in ERA (2.68), just behind Justin Verlander and before Trevor Bauer. He leads the entire MLB with his Wins Above Replacement at 2.7, which only goes to show how great he’s been – and how terrible his team has played. Despite the great numbers his record sits 3-3.
The Kansas City Royals played some great ball last night. Other than Whit Merrifield, the 4-5-6 hitters, Alex Gordon, Hunter Dozier and Jorge Soler, respectively, all had multi-hit nights. Among them they scored 5 runs and hit in 7. And most RBIs came in the clutch with 2-outs and batters in scoring position. The Royals got on base 18 times and only struck out 3 times, compared to Texas’s on-base 12 times and 12 Ks. The Royals truly earned that win.
Hunter Dozier plays as a star out there. The 2nd year third-baseman played 102 games last year, with a slash line of .229/.278/.395 and 109 SOs. That looks like an amateur player that deserves to get demoted or cut. But he has improved exponentially. He ranks 8th in the AL in BA (.321) and 2nd in the AL in OBP (.413) and third in SLG% (.620). Oh how the tables have turned. If only his team played a little better on offense. Kansas City suffers from slightly below average offense and defense. With a weapon like Dozier, look for them to improve in at least one of those categories.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
Texas are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas’ last 19 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
Texas are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games this season.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Texas’ last 14 games against an opponent in the American League.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Kansas City’s last 19 games when playing at home against Texas.
Kansas City are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the American League.
Kansas City are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the American League West division.
Free MLB Pick Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals
The Rangers remain one of the worst pitching teams, if not the worst. But they start their ace tonight. And Minor plays like an All-Star. But Kansas City has All-Star talent on offense and more pitching depth. I see this game being under the O/U. And I’m going with Kansas City in the upset.
My Pick: Kansas City (+125)