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Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 06-11-2019 Free MLB Picks

Toronto Blue Jays (23-42) vs Baltimore Orioles (20-45)

MLB: Tuesday 06-11-2019 7:05 PM ET (Camden Yards)

Toronto: -120, Baltimore: +100 Over/Under:9

Trent Thornton (1-4, 4.73) vs John Means (5-4, 2.67)

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick

The Blue Jays have flashed at times this season, with big wins over the Yankees and Twins amid a 23-42 record that has them sitting at 4th in the AL East. Freddy Galvis, Justin Smoak and Randal Grichuk headline the batters, and Vlad Guerrero Jr has shown glimpses of his massive potential. As a team, they’re ranked just behind Baltimore in total runs at #27 with a league worst .218 avg. Toronto does have a highly performing bullpen, as their relief pitchers rank #8 with 4.06 ERA and a .235 BA.

As Trent Thornton takes the mound, he’ll look to improve his rookie numbers. His 0.8 WAR is acceptable, and he leads the team with 69 strikeouts but he’ll have to bring down his ERA and take home some more wins if he wants to earn his place as a starter on this team. Baltimore is a safe team for Toronto to start him against, as their batters are ranked 26th in runs with a .237 avg.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Orioles are in the league’s gutter this year, tied for most losses with 45. Their batters rank 26th, and their relief bullpen ranks 29th with a 5.67 ERA. They’re 5th in the AL East, and have lost every series since April. The team is in dire straits headed into this series at home, and must find ways to handle the Blue Jays.

Trey Mancini, Dwight Smith Jr. and Hanser Alberto have headlined the batting order, but they need to produce more. Among a rotation of starting pitchers who range from 4.50 to 8.42 ERA, John Means has been a revelation. In 60 innings played, he’s only allowed 18 ER and 7HR. He ranks 2nd on the team in strikeouts with 50 and should be a major factor in todays game.

Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends

Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games.

Toronto are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games against Baltimore.

Toronto are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Baltimore are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore’s last 8 games this season.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Lineups

In this scrum at the bottom of the AL East, the batters are equally underperforming, so it’ll likely come down to how the pitchers do. Means is the clear favorite here over Thornton, but Baltimore’s relief is awful. Toronto’s relief is one of the highest ranked parts of their roster, and should be able to come in and shut things down even if Baltimore manages to take advantage of their 25 year old starter. However, if Means stifles the Toronto offense he’s likely to stay in as long as possible to bring home a rare win.

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles +100