Brooklyn Nets (42-40) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (51-31)
Saturday, April 13, 2019 @ 2:30 pm ET (Wells Fargo Center)
Line and Odds: 76ers -5.5 Over/Under: 232
FanDuel ESPN NBA Picks Philadelphia 76ers vs. Brooklyn Nets
In today’s Game 1 Eastern Conference playoffs match-up, the 6th seed Brooklyn Nets are playing against the 3rd seed Philadelphia 76ers at the Wells Fargo Center. For the regular season, the Nets finished 23-18 at home and 19-22 on the road. With a 6-4 record in their last ten games, the Nets closed out their schedule on a three-game winning streak. The team’s conference record is 29-23. Now, the 76ers concluded their schedule finishing 31-10 at home and 20-21 away.
In the 76ers’ last ten games, they ended the regular season with a 4-6 record. Their conference record is 31-21. In the last three head to head meetings, Philadelphia is 2-1 against Brooklyn. The Nets had a higher field goal percentage of 51.10% in these games, but were slightly out-rebounded 41.67 to 41.33. However, Brooklyn shot 36/82 from beyond the three-point arc, while Philadelphia shot 35/85. Not to mention, the 76ers acquired 10 steals, whereas the Nets earned 5.33 steals.
The Philadelphia 76ers finished the regular season ranked 4th in scoring offense, averaging 115.2 points per game. The 76ers’ offensive efficiency rating is ranked 8th, and the rating is 1.091. Joel Embiid is leading the team for points, rebounds, and blocks per game. Embiid averages 27.5 points, 13.6 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks. Ben Simmons is in first place for assists and steals, earning 7.7 assists and 1.4 steals per game. Based on an average of at least 10 attempts, Simmons is also leading the team for the highest field goal percentage, which is 56.3%. In 64 games played and started, Embiid is playing 33.7 minutes per game.
While Simmons is averaging 34.2 minutes per game out of 79 games played, Jimmy Butler’s MPG is 33.2 minutes in 55 games played. Upon further review of the injury report, Jimmy Butler is listed as “probable” for today’s game against the Brooklyn Nets. Notwithstanding, due to a knee injury, Joel Embiid was downgraded to doubtful. When scoring defense is analyzed, the 76ers allow 112.5 points per game, ranking 19th overall. Ranking 15th, the team’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.065. Additionally, Philadelphia ranks 16th for free throw shooting at 77.1%. The team averages 79% at home, but they shoot 75.2% away. Even with home-court advantage, the 76ers potentially losing Embiid for this game leaves them vulnerable.
After the 82-game regular season, the Brooklyn Nets are ranked 15th in scoring offense, averaging 112.2 points per game. Their offensively efficiency rating is 1.060, which ranks 19th overall. D’Angelo Russell is leading the team for points, assists, and steals per game. He averages 21.1 points, 7 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. Ed Davis is earning 8.6 rebounds per game. With 1.5 blocks, Jarrett Allen is ahead for this metric. Allen has the highest field goal percentage on the team, based on a minimum average of seven attempts, shooting 59%. In 81 games played and started, Russell is averaging 30.2 minutes per game.
In 76 games played and started, Joe Harris‘ MPG is also 30.2 minutes. According to the injury report, both DeMarre Carroll and Joe Harris were upgraded to “probable” for today’s game against the Philadelphia 76ers. Unfortunately, needless to say, shooting guard Allen Crabbe is out for the remainder of the season. For scoring defense, they allow their opponents to score 112.3 points per game, ranking 18th in the NBA. The team’s defensive efficiency rating is ranked 12th, and it is 1.061. Furthermore, Brooklyn ranks 24th for free throw shooting at 74.5%. They average 75% at home, but shoot 74% from the free throw line on the road.
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Brooklyn is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn’s last 6 games
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
DraftKings ESPN NBA Scores Brooklyn Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Leading into this playoff series, the 76ers are more dominant for scoring offense, but the defenses are identical. For three-point shooting, Philadelphia ranks 8th at 35.9%, while Brooklyn ranks 14th at 35.3%. When team shooting percentage is factored in, the 76ers rank 8th at 47.1%, whereas the Nets rank 25th at 44.9%. Plus, total rebounding percentage reveals that Philadelphia is the superior team. They have recovered 51.7% of their failed shot attempts. The Nets, although still ranked high, have retrieved 50.5% of their missed shots.
Nevertheless, both teams rank in the bottom six in the NBA for turnovers. The 76ers average 14.9 turnovers per game and the Nets average 15.1. Then, there’s personal fouls. For this metric, the teams are roughly the same. Brooklyn commits 21.6 personal fouls per game, while Philadelphia commits 21.3 fouls. All things considered, the 76ers should be favored to win Game 1 against the Nets at home. Philadelphia is 41-17 this season as selected favorites.
Pick: 76ers -5 (-105)