Denver Nuggets(27-12) Vs Los Angeles Clippers(24-16)
January 10, 2019 9 PM ET (Pepsi Arena)
Spread: Denver -5.5 Over/under: 225.5
The Los Angeles Clippers will visit the Denver Nuggets on Thursday night at Pepsi Center. The Clippers are coming off a home win on Tuesday over the Charlotte Hornets 128-109, and are 7-3 in their last 10. The Nuggets are coming into the matchup following a close road victory on Tuesday over the Miami Heat 103-99, a game in which Nikola Jokic came up clutch down the stretch. The Nuggets are 7-3 in their last 10 and are an excellent team at home, holding a 16-3 record. The Nuggets (27-12) sit in 1st atop the Western Conference, while the Clippers (24-16) are precariously slotted at 4th in the standings.
The Clippers have played the Nuggets twice this season, both times at Staples Center, with the Nuggets winning the 1st game 107-98 and the Clippers winning the 2nd game 132-111. Playing at altitude should give the Nuggets an extra boost as they look to take advantage of a decent Clipper team. The Clippers have been perhaps the most surprising team in the NBA with the way they’ve competed and kept themselves in the playoff hunt. But, the Nuggets have had an even better season and are poised for a playoff berth and have a chance to make a postseason run. Lead by their dynamic duo of Nikola Jokic (19.2 ppg 10.1 rpg 7.5 apg) and Jamal Murray (18.4 ppg 4.5 rpg 5 apg) this team has shown its depth after being able to overcome injuries to key contributors like Will Barton, Paul Millsap, and Gary Harris and still have the best record in the West. If Jokic and Murray are healthy, then the Nuggets can beat any team in the league, as they’ve proven capable of.
The Clippers don’t have any players who can match the talent level of Jokic or Murray, but they are lead by some solid wings in Danilo Gallinari (19.5 ppg 6.2 rpg 2.5 apg) and Tobias Harris (21.1 ppg 8 rpg 2.2 apg). But, Louis Williams (18.5 ppg 2.7 rpg 4.9 apg) coming off the bench and often finishing close games for the Clippers is a true scoring savant and the team’s closer. If the game is close down the stretch, then Williams should have the ball in clutch situations. The Nuggets will run their offense through Murray and Jokic and their well balanced attack has proven successful thus far. The Clippers average the 4th most points at 116 ppg, while the Nuggets rank 18th at 110.5 ppg.
Cover The Spread 365 Stats
Los Angeles Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers’s last 6 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers’s last 6 games when playing Denver
LA Clippers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Denver
LA Clippers is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games
Denver is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Denver is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
ESPN SCORES FREE NBA PREDICTIONS DENVER NUGGETS VS LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
The Nuggets improvement on defense from last season to this one is the main reason they sit atop the West. The Nuggets rank 4th in defensive efficiency, allowing 105.5 ppg, and an even more impressive 101.7 ppg in home games. The Clippers are one of the worst defensive teams, ranking 24th in defensive efficiency, allowing 114 ppg and 115.5 ppg on the road. Both teams are coming off wins and will look to get another in the ultra competitive Western Conference.
The numbers favor the Nuggets and their defense and home court advantage should net them another win. The Nuggets should get a relatively easy win and cover the 5.5 spread as they’ve proven to be a terrific home team. A high scoring game would favor the Clippers, and the Nuggets will aim to keep the Clippers under 100. Take the under for 225.5 and a Nuggets win. The Nuggets will be missing Will Barton, Michael Porter Jr., Isaiah Thomas, Jarred Vanderbilt, and Garry Harris is listed as questionable. The Clippers will be missing Luc Mbah a Moute and Milos Teodosic is listed as questionable.
Pick: DENVER Nuggets -5.5