Game 4: Denver Nuggets (54-28) vs. San Antonio Spurs (48-34)
NBA: Saturday April 20, 2019 2:30 PM PT (AT&T Center)
Spread: San Antonio Spurs -3.5 — O/U: 208
Free NBA Pick Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs
The San Antonio Spurs look to stay hot after coming home and taking the lead in the series against the Denver Nuggets. With series at 2-1, this game becomes a crucial game, particularly for the Nuggets. The momentum remains with the Spurs after not only taking game one in Denver, but beating the Nuggets by 10 in San Antonio. During the regular season, these teams met four times. The series went even. This explains the competitiveness of the matchup and remains the most intriguing of the first round.
The starting five really came out to play on Thursday. Derrick White played probably the best game of his young career. He scored 36 points on 15-21 shooting. He also got 5 rebounds, 5 assists and 3 steals. He attacked the basket with surprising fervor, splitting one of the top defense over and over again. And played both sides of the court. Star forward DeMar DeRozan scored 25 with 5 assists and 3 steals as well. They didn’t even need a bench as only 3 players from the bench logged more than 15 minutes. 6th man Rudy Gay scored 11 with 10 rebounds. They also only turnover the ball 6 times (compared to Denver’s 13). The Spurs just played smooth, consistent ball and gave the ball to the hot player.
The Denver Nuggets played well against the Spurs, but in the postseason and against Gregg Popovich, well is just not good enough. Jamal Murray had a particularly off night. He only scored 6, going 2-6 from the field. He also committed a team-high 4 turnovers. Nikola Jokic scored a solid 22 points with 8 rebounds and 7 assists. Malik Beasley came off the bench and scored 20 points, going 5-6 from beyond the arc. As a team, they went 50% from the field and 50% from three. But they were not aggressive enough on the glass, getting out-rebounded by nearly 15. And they did not capitalize on the charity stripe (they shot 50% from FT). Look for Jamal Murray to lead a more aggressive offense and ‘tough’ defense this game.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Antonio’s last 24 games
San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Antonio is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio’s last 14 games at home
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Denver’s last 25 games
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Free NBA Pick San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets
The Spurs dominate at home (during the regular season they had one of the top home records). Gregg Popovich knows how to capitalize in these kind of situations. And with talent like Derozan and White playing at their peak level, how could the Nuggets stop them? Denver remains and will remain for awhile, the team in the West with the most young and promising talent. They play solid defense and have too many playmakers to simply disregard. It comes down to believing the Nuggets making the necessary changes or not. I’m going with the upset and picking the Nuggets.
My Pick: Nuggets (+3.5, Money Line: +145)