Golden State Warriors (30-11) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (33-48)
Tuesday, April, 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm ET (Smoothie King Center)
Line and Odds: Warriors -8.5 Over/Under: 235
FanDuel ESPN NBA Picks New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors
In tonight’s game, the 1st seed Golden State Warriors are playing against the 12th seed New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center. The end of the regular season is near. Golden State is 30-11 at home and 26-13 away. If the Warriors beat the Pelicans to close out their regular season, they’ll enter the playoffs on a six-game winning streak. On April 7th, they beat the Los Angeles Clippers 131-104 at home. Meanwhile, New Orleans is 19-21 at home and 14-27 on the road. The Pelicans have won three of the last ten games on their schedule. On April 7th, they beat the Sacramento Kings 133-129 at the Golden 1 Center.
In the event of the Pelicans losing tonight and both the Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies winning their games, New Orleans will drop down to the 14th seed in the Western Conference. In the last ten head to head meetings, the Warriors are a dominating 8-2 against the Pelicans. They averaged a higher field goal percentage of 47.80%, and out-rebounded New Orleans 47.70 to 45.40. In the last three meetings, Warriors shot 47/108 from beyond the three-point arc, whereas the Pelicans shot 41/96.
New Orleans Pelicans
The New Orleans Pelicans are ranked 3rd for scoring offense, averaging 115.6 points per game. Their offensive efficiency rating is 1.082, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Julius Randle is leading the team for points and rebounds per game. He averages 21.4 points and 8.7 rebounds. Jrue Holiday is ahead for assists, steals, and blocks. He is earning 7.7 assists, 1.6 steals, and at least 1 block per game. Based on an average minimum of six attempts, shooting 54.9%, Christian Wood has the highest field goal percentage on the team. In 56 games played and started, Anthony Davis is playing 33 minutes per game. This will more than likely be Davis’ last game as a Pelican.
In 67 games played and started, Holiday’s MPG is 35.9 minutes. According to the injury report, Jrue Holiday, E’Twaun Moore, and Darius Miller are out indefinitely. Plus, Davis was upgraded to “probable” and Stanley Johnson is listed as “questionable” for tonight’s game against the Golden State Warriors. For scoring defense, the Pelicans allow their opponents to score 116.8 points per game, ranking 28th in the league. The team’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.093, and this ranks 24th overall. Furthermore, the team is ranked 18th for free throw shooting at 76.2%. They average 76.9% at home and 75.5% on the road.
Golden State Warriors
The Golden State Warriors are ranked 2nd for scoring offense, averaging 117.8 points per game. The Warriors’ offensive efficiency rating is 1.125, and this rating is the league’s best. Stephen Curry is leading the team for points, earning 27.6 points per game. Draymond Green is ahead for rebounds, assists, and steals. He earns 7.3 rebounds, 7 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. Kevin Durant is averaging 1.1 blocks per game. Leading the team for field goal percentage, Durant is shooting 52% as well. In 68 games played and started, Curry is playing 34.1 minutes per game. In 77 games played and started, Klay Thompson’s MPG is 34.2 minutes.
Upon further review of the injury report, Andre Iguodala was downgraded to out and Damian Jones is out indefinitely. Not to mention, both Andrew Bogut and Kevin Durant are out for tonight’s game against the New Orleans Pelicans. When scoring defense is analyzed, Golden State allows their opponents to score 111.1 points per game, ranking 16th overall. The team’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.061, which ranks 12th. Additionally, Golden State is ranked 5th for free throw shooting at 80.2%. They average 79.9% from the free throw line at home, but shoot 80.6% when playing on the road.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games
New Orleans is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
New Orleans is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games at home
New Orleans is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State’s last 5 games
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
DraftKings ESPN NBA Scores Golden State Warriors vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Now, both teams possess top 3 scoring offense. However, Golden State has the superior scoring defense. From beyond the three-point arc, the Warriors are ranked 3rd at 38.4%, while the Pelicans are ranked 24th at 34.5%. For team shooting percentage, Golden State is statistically the best team in the league at 49.1%, whereas New Orleans is ranked 5th at 47.4%. In addition to being better defensively, the Warriors are the better free throw team. When total rebounding percentage is considered, the teams are more comparable. The Pelicans have recovered 50.8% of their failed shot attempts.
The Warriors, although not much worse, have retrieved 50.2% of their missed shots. Moreover, both teams rank in the bottom half of the league for turnovers. Golden State averages 14.2 turnovers per game and New Orleans has 14.9 turnovers. Then, there’s personal fouls. The teams are also similar for this metric. The Warriors commit 21.5 personal fouls per game; the Pelicans commit 21.2 fouls. All things considered, the Warriors should still be favored to win tonight’s game. They are 53-20 this season as selected favorites.
Pick: Warriors -7 (-108)