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Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs

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Golden State Warriors (9-25) at San Antonio Spurs (13-18)

NBA: Tuesday, December 31st, 2019 at 7:00 pm ET (AT&T Center)

Line and Odds: San Antonio Spurs -11 Over/Under: 216.5

Free ESPN NBA Picks San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors

Golden State

This may not be the season that the Warriors’ franchise and fanbase would have hoped for, but Golden State is still fighting. The Golden State Warriors have a record of just 9-25. They are last out of 15 teams in the Western Conference standings. Golden State has the 2nd-worst record of any team in the NBA, just ahead of the 7-27 Atlanta Hawks. They are 17.5 games back of the division-leading Los Angeles Lakers in the Pacific Division. All of this is unfamiliar territory for Golden State, considering that they made the NBA Finals in each of the previous five seasons. Unfortunately, this is a season that has been derailed by injuries. Klay Thompson was hurt in the NBA Finals last year and Steph Curry got hurt early in this season. In addition, Draymond Green, D’Angelo Russell, and Kevon Looney have all missed significant time.

Despite all of this, the Warriors have played well over the past few games. The Warriors have won 4 out of their last 5 games, winning 4 in a row before their most recent loss to the Dallas Mavericks. Arguably, the highlight of their season came on Christmas Day when they beat Houston 116-104 at home as an 11 point underdog. They held Russell Westbrook to 0-8 from 3 point range and allowed Harden to shoot just 1 free throw attempt. If they can find a way to defend like that going forward, they can certainly make life difficult on teams even when their opponents have more healthy talent. Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry, D’Angelo Russell, and Willie Cauley-Stein are all out for this game against San Antonio. Rookie of The Year candidate Eric Paschall is listed as questionable, but I expect him to play in this one.

San Antonio

The 2019-2020 San Antonio Spurs is certainly not a vintage Spurs unit. San Antonio is currently 13-18 through 31 games. This is highly uncharacteristic of a Gregg Popovich-coached team because of how strong his team’s records has consistently been. Popovich hasn’t had a losing record in a year as an NBA head coach since the 1996-1997 season. It is a franchise that is much more familiar with 50+ win seasons, than they are with losing seasons. Even with their 13-18 record, they still have hope to make a run at the playoffs this season. They are currently 8th-place in the Western Conference standings, which would be good enough to make the postseason. San Antonio is a half-game ahead of the 9th-place Portland Trail Blazers, 1 game ahead of the Phoenix Suns, and 1.5 games ahead of the Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves. There are plenty of teams looking to surpass the Spurs over the course of the season, but it will be harder to chase down the teams ahead of them. San Antonio is 3.5 games behind the #7 seed Oklahoma City Thunder and 7 games behind the #6 Utah Jazz.

San Antonio’s season has been a tale of 3 distinct acts. In their first 8 games, the Spurs went 5-3. They won their first 3 games against the Knicks, Wizards, and Trail Blazers, and maintained a winning record through the first two weeks of the season. However, San Antonio hit a rough stretch in the schedule that caused them the slide in the standings. The Spurs lost their next 8 games, including losses to the Grizzlies, Magic, and Wizards. Ever since then, San Antonio has been trying to dig themselves out of the that hole. Since that 8-game losing streak, the Spurs have essentially been treading water. They have gone 8-7 in their last 15 games to stay within striking distance of the Western Conference playoffs. It would do them a world of good if Demar DeRozan and the Spurs could go on a winning streak to offset the losing streak they had early in the year.

Cover The Spread 365 Betting Trends

Warriors

Golden State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Golden State is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Golden State’s last 14 games this season.

Spurs

San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State.

ESPN NBA Scores Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs

I’m taking the Golden State Warriors at +11 in this matchup. When I look at how well the Warriors have played in the past week-and-a-half, I think they should be able cover a double digit spread here. Steve Kerr has found some things that work for his team in the last 5 games. They have a coaching staff full of great defensive minds, so it would make sense that the young squad that’s being put on the floor would improve on the defensive end. San Antonio has been alright in their last 15 games, but not enough to warrant an 11 point line. They are still a below-average team overall, so I believe Golden State can hang with them tonight. Take the Warriors and the points.

Golden State Warriors +11

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