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HUMP DAY PICKS 12/13/17-NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Rockets (21-4)vs. Charlotte Hornets(10-16) 

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, December 13, 2017 at 9:30 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Houston Rockets -12.5 — Over/Under: 220

The Houston Rockets have been in red-hot form as they will be aiming for an 11th straight win after beating the Pelicans by 130-123 on Monday. Before you take the Rockets to the moon, keep in mind the Charlotte Hornets squad that just murdered the Oklahoma City Thunder in their own building.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 118-99 result in favor of the Rockets. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Houston is the NBA’s No. 1-ranked team at 15.96 per game, while the Charlotte Hornets rate No. 24 with 8.96 per contest. The Hornets have covered in just three of their last 15 road games and just once in their last nine meetings in Houston. The biggest threat for the Rockets is themselves and how they have been playing defense. If they keep up this lack luster effort, they are going to have games where they reach for their reserves in the fourth quarter and they won’t have enough rocket fuel to finish the game.

Injuries to be aware of: Cody Zeller is out for the Hornets and Nicolas Batum is doubtful with an elbow injury.

CTS 365 Trends:

Charlotte:

Hornets are 4-9-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings

Hornets are 1-7-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Houston

Houston:

Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast

Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400

Over/Under:

Houston has go 12-13 and the Hornets go 12-14 on the total.

 

  [button type=”big” color=”red”]  Pick: Over 220[/button]

Indiana Pacers(16-11) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder(12-14)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, December 13, 2017 at 7:00 pm (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)

The Line: Indiana Pacers -1.5 — Over/Under: 213

The  Thunder look to get closer to .500 as they are heading to the red hot Indiana Pacers a. It marks the second time, George will face the Pacers  following the trade which sent Victor Oladipo and Domantis Sabonis to Indiana for Paul George and looks like the Pacers are coming up ahead so far in this trade. In the first meeting of this matchup, the Rockets went to Indiananapolis and took care of the Pacers quite handily, winning 118-95. Since that game, the Rockets have won five of six and the Pacers have won six of seven, losing only to the league-best Boston Celtics.

In the four games to start Indiana’s six-game homestand, Oladipo has set the world on fire, averaging 30.8 points, seven rebounds, and 4.3 assists, all while shooting 47.5 perecent on his 3-point attempts. The game also pits Indiana’s No. 6-ranked offense averaging 109 PPG, against a Oklahoma City Thunder defense that ranks No. 3 at 99.62 PPG. The Indiana Pacers field goal percentage has averaged 47.98% so far, more than the Oklahoma City Thunder shooters have achieved on the year, 43.59% per game.

CTS 365 Trends:

Oklahoma City

Thunder are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 road games

Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference

Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game

Indiana

Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game

Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game

 

[button type=”big” color=”blue”]  Pick: Thunder +1.5 [/button]

 

Miami Heat (13-13)vs. Portland Trail Blazers(13-13)

Portland Trail Blazers (13-13) at Miami Heat (13-13)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, December 13, 2017 at 7:30 pm (American Airlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -3 — Over/Under: 202

Miami is heading home from their three game road trip and went 2-1 as they beat Memphis and the Nets. The Heat tries to make it three wins in a row as they return home against the Blazers and will have to do it without Hassan Whiteside, who’s missed seven games in a row and eleven in total for the season,  due to a bone bruise to his left knee.  Whiteside is the big man in the low block with 14.9 points plus 12.6 boards a night but has missed 11 games this season with a knee bruise.

The Heat has been mediocre offensively so far this season, ranking 6 in the league with 100.5 points per game. Miami has been below average on the glass as they are 25th with 41.3 boards per game. The Heat is 23rd in assists with 21 dimes per contest. Miami comes in 8th in scoring defense as they allow 102.8 points per game. The Heat stands 4th with 11.9 three pointers a night and tied for 11th in three point shooting at 36.9 percent.

On the flip side, Portland hasn’t won a game in over two weeks, and the last time they did, it was on the road versus an Eastern Conference opponent. Given that fact, perhaps the Trail Blazers have reason to be optimistic about their chances of ending a five-game losing streak Wednesday night when they face the Miami Heat at American Airlines Arena in the second game of a five-game road trip. The Trail Blazers got a fantastic performance from Damian Lillard, who dropped 39 points in a lose to  Golden State. Injuries upgraded to questionable for Portland are Jusuf Nurkic, Maurice Harkless  vs. Miami Heat. The Blazers could use Nurkic as center since Whiteside is out. Portland needs to own the boards since falling all the way to being ranked 26th for the month of December. This  is a huge drop since being ranked the 3rd best team in the league when it comes to rebounding percentage.

**Record Alert: Head coach Erik Spoelstra is one win away from tying Heat President Pat Riley for the most regular season wins in franchise history. Spoelstra already owns the Heat record for playoff wins with 70, who’s only behind Greg Popovic (longest tenured coach in the NBA).

CTS 365 Trends:

Portland

Trail Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast

Trailblazers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a loss

Miami

Heat are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 home games

Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

Over/Under:

Over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Miami

 

  [button type=”big” color=”red”]  Pick: Over 202 [/button]

William
William
His methodology may be irrational, but his results are unmatched. Developed his own metrics on how to gauge sports plays based purely on coaching style and team strengths. Think Moneyball mixed with Any Given Sunday, you want him on your team. With his experience of 20 years in sports betting he's witnessed it all and doesn't fall for any traps set by the oddsmaker. A degree from the university of Miami in sports/player development gives him an edge on players mentality that's allowed him to carry that knowledge to battle with the oddsmakers.
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