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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks

Memphis Grizzlies (28-40) @ Atlanta Hawks (23-45)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, March 13, 2019; 7:30 PM ET @ State Farm Arena

Odds: Atlanta Hawks -2, Over/Under: 224

DraftKings Picks Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks

Neither of these NBA teams will be making the playoffs and yet this could be the best Wednesday night game to throw some coin at. The Memphis Grizzlies are hot despite their subpar offense and the Atlanta Hawks can’t buy a win.

Atlanta Hawks

I don’t think the Hawks have truly hit rock bottom yet. They have lost the last five out of seven but they still sit ranked 12th in the top-heavy Eastern Conference. Now, it’s too late in the season for Atlanta to tank for Zion, even though Duke’s massive future number one pick would help the Hawks where they need it most, defensively.

Offensively, Atlanta has struggled considerably. Ranked 13th, there scoring is limited to 112.4 points per game behind the shiny new stars John Collins and Trae Young. Speaking of Collins and Young, this pair must be the most inconsistent duo in the league. Trae is a guy who can give you 40 points one night and 5 the next while Collins’ rebounding roller coaster is one I don’t want to ride. Prime example, John was at home against the 13-54 New York Knicks and managed one rebound. A couple of weeks later against the Phoenix Suns, he managed 14.

Sticking to the consistency theme, the only consistency this team has shown is the ability to lose. In November, the Hawks went on a tear, losing 10 straight and going 3-16 for the month.

In conclusion, the Atlanta Hawks are so bad they provided the New York Knicks with slightly less than 25% of their wins so far this season. (Knicks sweep the Hawks in the regular season 3-0).

Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies are the exact opposite of the Hawks. While Atlanta can’t buy a win, Memphis can’t buy a bucket. Their offense is ranked dead last but -in contrast to Atlanta- their defense is ranked first.

Furthermore, the Grizzlies appeared to have hit rock bottom…last year. They already surpassed their win total from 2017 and they have made some significant roster changes throughout the season. This is also a team who are on a three-game winning streak with starting guard Mike Conley being named NBA’s Player of the Week in the Western Conference. The 31-year-old Conley averaged 31.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, 7.7 assists and 1.3 steals over the short win streak while shooting above .500 from the field.

Even though this team is missing their first-round draft pick, Jaren Jackson Jr., they have managed to win five out of the last eight, exactly the opposite record of Atlanta. Also, the last time these two played, Memphis had their way, scoring 131 points to Atlanta’s 117. The Grizzlies were favored -7 in that matchup and covered comfortably.

Cover The Spread 365 NBA betting trends

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies are 13-9-1 ATS in away games

Memphis Grizzlies are 4-4 as dogs in its last 8 games

Memphis Grizzlies are 2-2 ATS in its last 4 away games

Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks are 5-2 ATS in its last 7 home games

Atlanta Hawks are 3-4 when favored

Atlanta Hawks are 13-20 ATS at home

FanDuel Picks Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies

A win for either of these teams only contributes to a higher seed in the NBA draft and yet the trends are obvious. The Hawks are losing and the Grizzlies are hot and likely only three years away from true playoff contention. The trends coupled with the result from early in the season make it nearly impossible to pick the Hawks even in the State Farm Arena. Give me the Grizzlies.

Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies +2

Matthew Helmkamp
Matthew Helmkamp
Matt is a lifelong NBA and PGA fan who decided to turn his love into a career. Matt leverages his vast experience working with data and the knowledge he obtained while earning his MBA to ensure all of his picks are profitable.
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