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Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs

Milwaukee Bucks (50-16) vs. San Antonio Spurs (37-29)

NBA: Sunday, March 10 2019 8:00 PM ET (AT&T Center)

Spread: Bucks -2   Over/under: 228.5

Free ESPN NBA Picks Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs 

The San Antonio Spurs will host the Milwaukee Bucks in a matchup of East vs. West. The Bucks are in the midst of a dream season as they are first in the East and have the best record in the league looking poised to make a deep playoff run. The Bucks also are first in point differential at +9.3. The Spurs are currently in the 8th seed and should make the playoffs as they are 3.5 games ahead of the 9th seed, the Sacramento Kings.

The Bucks are lead by MVP frontrunner, Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.0 ppg 12.6 rpg 6.0 apg). Giannis is starting to realize what he is physically capable of on a basketball court and as a result has become the leader in dunks made on the season. Giannis is too long and strong for smaller defenders and too quick for taller players. There isn’t another player in the league that can match Giannis in physical ability and as a result he is often doubled in the paint.

Giannis is also a solid playmaker and the Bucks have surrounded him with shooters to give the Bucks an efficient offense. The Bucks rank second in scoring at 117.57 ppg. Eric Bledsoe (15.8 ppg 4.7 rpg 5.4 apg) is having a terrific season playing well on both sides of the ball and is a big reason why the Bucks allow 108.13 ppg, ranking 9th in points allowed. With an elite offense and a top 10 defense it makes sense why the Bucks have been so dominant over the course of the season.

The Spurs are more of a middle of the road team, both offensively and defensively. The Spurs average 111.92 ppg (18th) and allow 110.82 ppg (14th). DeMar DeRozan (21.4 ppg 6.2 rpg 6.1 apg) is their leading scorer and has really improved as a playmaker for the Spurs as his 6.1 apg is a career high. The Bucks should be able to throw multiple defenders at DeRozan to slow down his attack. Players like Malcolm Brogdon (16.0 ppg 4.7 rpg 3.3 apg), Eric Bledsoe, Tony Snell (6.0 ppg 2.0 rpg 0.9 apg), and Khris Middleton (17.4 ppg 5.9 rpg 4.2 apg) should all get their chances at guarding DeRozan. Middleton is having a great season as evidenced by a well deserved All Star nod.

The player that could give the Bucks some trouble in the post is LaMarcus Aldridge (21.1 ppg 8.9 rpg 2.4 apg) as the Bucks don’t really have a player that can match up well with him. Giannis provides decent rim protection and will need to play good help defense in order to slow down Aldridge down low. Brook Lopez (12.4 ppg 4.5 rpg 1.1 apg) and the newly acquired Pau Gasol (4.0 ppg 4.6 rpg 1.8 apg) should have their hands full defending Aldridge. Aldridge is a solid mid range shooter and is one of the few big men that still play in the post as the league has become more 3 point centric.

Cover The Spread 365 Stats

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Milwaukee is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games

Milwaukee is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road

Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road

Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games

San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 game

The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio’s last 18 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 5 games

San Antonio is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games at home

San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

ESPN NBA Picks Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs 

The Bucks are coming off a Saturday home victory over the Charlotte Hornets, 131-114. Giannis lead the way with 26 points, 13 rebounds and 6 assists. The Bucks are 8-2 in their last 10 games and were the first team to clinch a playoff spot. The Spurs are coming off a Wednesday road victory over the Atlanta Hawks, 111-104. LaMarcus Aldridge lead the team with 32 points and 9 rebounds in the win. The Spurs are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Bucks are coming into the game on the second night of a back to back in their 1st game of a 3 game road trip. The Spurs will be the more rested team and the home court advantage should make this a close game. The Bucks previously hosted the Spurs, winning 135-129. The Bucks will be missing Sterling Brown and George Hill. The Spurs will be missing Dejounte Murray, while Rudy Gay and Jakob Poeltl are listed as questionable.

Pick: Spurs +2

Jason Barron
Jason Barron
Jason is an expert who gives unparalleled advice when it comes to the NBA, NFL and college sports. His slogan is "Eye Test Sports Without Stats" and that's exactly what you are going to get here. No fancy stats, just observation and analysis!