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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Charlotte Hornets

Minnesota Timberwolves (32-39) at Charlotte Hornets (31-39)

NBA: March 21, 2019 @ 7:00 PM EST (Spectrum Center)

Line and Odds: Hornets -5/ Timberwolves +5 — Over/Under: 222

Free NBA Pick Charlotte Hornets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Two fringe playoff teams, but likely lottery teams, in the Charlotte Hornets and Minnesota Timberwolves will face off on Thursday in the Spectrum Center.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost four straight games and come into Thursday’s contest banged up without Derrick Rose, Jeff Teague, and Robert Covington. That makes half of Minnesota’s six most used players unavailable against the Hornets. As a result, Karl-Anthony Towns will have to continue carrying this team if it hopes to win on the road. Despite Towns stepping it up as of late, he can only do so much. Over his last four games (all losses), the 23-year-old has averaged an impressive 27 points and 13.3 rebounds per game (4.8 on the offensive glass). However, not even Towns’ offensive dominance has been enough to mask Minnesota’s problems offensively as the Timberwolves have ranked among the six worst teams in points per game over their most recent four game stretch. Despite the poor play offensively, the Timberwolves biggest weakness is still on the defensive end as Minnesota ranks second to last in the league in defensive rating over its last four games, and has overall looked bad on defense all season.

The Charlotte Hornets have been just as cold as the Timberwolves of late, winning just one of their last five games. Charlotte is an average offensive team that relies heavily on the production of star guard Kemba Walker. Walker is averaging a career high 25 points per game while taking more three pointers than ever (nine per game, with a solid 35.7% three point field goal percentage) and posting a 50.8% eFG%. The Hornets are an unimpressive defensive unit as well, ranking just two spots above the Timberwolves in defensive rating (22nd in the NBA). They struggle to secure defensive rebounds, and tends to allow a high number of open shots, especially inside of the arc. The biggest reason for this is their lack of size and skill at the center position with Cody Zeller being the best option averaging just 10 points and six rebounds per game. It’ll be an easy match-up for Towns to exploit all game. 

Cover the Spread 365 NBA Betting Trends

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Minnesota

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte’s last 10 games at home

Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games

Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Free NBA Pick Charlotte Hornets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Neither of these teams are particularly enticing, but the Hornets are probably the better team when considering how injuries have affected the Timberwolves. Even with the injuries this is pretty close to a coin-flip matchup talent wise, so chase the reward here.

The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves SU (+185)

Sam Chinitz
Sam Chinitz
Sam has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he's combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. He loves sports and loves writing about them. Using not just statistics and records, he uses common sense and conventional thinking. The opposite of what most bettors rely on--impulse wagering and following the norm. His articles are well-thought-out and well-researched.
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