New Orleans Pelicans (30-42) vs. Dallas Mavericks (28-41)
Monday, March 18, 2019 @ 8:30 pm ET (American Airlines Center)
Lines and Odds: Mavericks -4.5 Over/Under: 230
ESPN NBA Expert Picks Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans
The 12th seed New Orleans Pelicans are playing against the 13th seed Dallas Mavericks in tonight’s Western Conference game. While ranking 3rd in the Southwest Division, the Pelicans are 18-17 at home and 12-25 on the road. On March 16th, after losing 138-136 to the Phoenix Suns at home in OT, New Orleans is now on a six game losing streak. Meanwhile, ranking 4th in the Southwest Division, the Mavericks are 22-13 at home and 6-28 away. Although the Mavs beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 126-116 at the American Airlines Center, played on March 16th, the team has still lost eight of their last ten games on their schedule. In the last ten head to head meetings, the Pelicans are 7-3 against the Mavs. New Orleans averaged a higher field goal percentage of 48.79%, and out-rebounded Dallas 44 to 41.60. Not to mention, acquired more steals, based on the Pelicans earning 7.20 to the Mavs’ 5.40. Plus, in the last three games against Dallas, New Orleans was more accurate from beyond the three point arc, with shooting 33/79, whereas Dallas shot 41/113.
The Dallas Mavericks are ranked 22nd in scoring offense, averaging 107.9 points per game. Their offensive efficiency rating is 1.054, which ranks 20th in the NBA. Luka Doncic is leading the team for points, rebounds, assists, and steals per game. He averages 21 points, 7.4 rebounds, 5.7 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. Maximilian Kleber is ahead in blocks, earning 1.1 per game. Dwight Powell has the highest field goal percentage on the team, shooting 59.4%. In 64 games played and started, Doncic is also playing the most minutes, with 32.3 minutes on the court. In 49 games played and started. In 69 games played and 26 started, Dorian Finney-Smith is averaging 25.4 MPG. According to the injury report, Kristaps Porzingis is out “indefinitely,” but Luka Doncic was upgraded to “probable” for tonight’s game against the New Orleans Pelicans. Dallas is definitely missing J.J. Barea, who was averaging 10.9 points and 5.6 assists per game. For scoring defense based on opponents’ points per game, the Mavericks are ranked 11th, allowing 109.6 points per game. The team’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.070 and it ranks 17th overall. Furthermore, Dallas is ranked 25th for free throw shooting at 73.8%. They shoot 73.7% from the free throw line at home, but have a higher percentage of 74% on the road.
New Orleans Pelicans
The New Orleans Pelicans are ranked 3rd for scoring offense, earning 115.8 points. However, ranking 10th, their offensive efficiency rating is 1.086. Anthony Davis is leading the team for points, rebounds, and blocks per game. He averages 26.3 points, 12.1 rebounds, and 2.5 blocks per game. Jrue Holiday is ahead for assists and steals. Holiday acquires 7.7 assists and 1.6 steals per game. With a shooting percentage of 52.5%, Julius Randle is in first place on New Orleans for the highest field goal percentage. In 67 games played and started, Holiday is also leading the team in minutes per game, playing 35.9 minutes on the court. Davis averages 33.5 minutes in 54 games played and started. Upon further review of the injury report, both Jrue Holiday and E’Twaun Moore are listed as out “indefinitely” for tonight’s game against the Dallas Mavericks. Moore is earning 11.9 PPG. Additionally, for scoring defense, New Orleans is ranked 27th. They allow their opponents to score 116 points per game. Ranking 24th, the Pelicans’ defensive efficiency rating is 1.088. Moreover, the Pelicans are ranked 19th for free throw shooting at 75.7%. The team averages 76.4% at home and 75.1% away.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
Dallas is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’s last 9 games
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
ESPN NBA Scores New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks
As the result of injuries and lack of stable, proficient offensive production, Dallas is inferior for scoring offense, but are the better team on defense. For 3 point shooting, both teams are inaccurate from beyond the arc. The Mavericks are ranked 27th at 34.2%, whereas the Pelicans rank 25th at 34.6%. Nonetheless, New Orleans has proven to be the more accurate shooting team. Their 47.5% team shooting percentage ranks 5th, while Dallas is ranked 27th at 44.6%. When total rebounding percentage is calculated, the two teams are identical. Ranking 9th, the Mavs have recovered 50.9% of their rebounds. New Orleans’ rebounding percentage is 50.8%, ranking 10th in the NBA. Likewise, these teams rank in the bottom ten for turnovers. The Pelicans have 14.6 turnovers per game and the Mavericks allow 14.7 turnovers. Despite the data consistently changing from game to game, Dallas has 19.9 personal fouls called against them per game, which is the league’s sixth best. Due to acquiring 21.5 personal fouls, the Pelicans rank in the bottom half. All in all, the Mavericks are the best bet in tonight’s game. New Orleans being without Jrue Holiday is pretty significant. It is more difficult for any faltering team to snap a losing streak on the road as well.
Pick: Mavericks -3.5 (-110)