Phoenix Suns (11-50) Vs Miami Heat (26-32)
NBA Basketball: Monday, February 25, 2019 (American Airlines Arena)
Line and Odds: Miami Heat (-8.5), O/U 215.5
Free ESPN NBA Picks Phoenix Suns Vs Miami Heat
In tonight’s inter-conference match up, the Suns head to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat. The Heat are looking to bounce back from a two game skid, while the Suns have dropped their last 17.
The Heat currently sit at 10th in the East with a 26-32 record. Despite being just 2-8 in their last ten and 11-17 at home, they are 12-11 against the West this year. Needless to say, the Heat have struggled immensely as of late, however they have a solid chance to pick up a win tonight against a weak Phoenix team. The team will be without Justice Winslow, and Goran Dragic is out again, despite making his return two nights ago against Detroit. James Johnson and Rodney McGruder are also listed as doubtful, so the Heat will be missing some significant rotation players.
Miami will look to Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade and Dion Waiters to carry the brunt of scoring load, and they’ll need to hope that Whiteside plays well against DeAndre Ayton. Richardson is averaging 18.1 points and 4 assists on 48.6% from the field over his last ten. Wade is putting up 15.4 points, 4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest over his last ten, and Dion Waiters is contributing 12.5 points a night over the Heat’s last ten, albeit on an inefficient 40.5% from the floor.
Against a talent like DeAndre Ayton, they’ll need Whiteside to be solid on both ends of the floor. In his last game against the Pistons, he recorded 13 points and 15 rebounds. However, over his last five, he’s averaging just 8.4 points and 10 rebounds, which are both down from his season averages of 12.6 points and 12.3 rebounds. If Whiteside can contain Ayton and Richardson locks up Booker, the Heat have a great shot tonight.
Phoenix has been nothing short a train wreck this season, and while they are unlikely to win this one, if things go right they could possibly cover tonight.
In their last game against Atlanta, they lost by eight as Tyler Johnson led the way with 29 points. Devin Booker had 26 points, 8 assists and 7 rebounds, while Ayton recorded a double double. The main problem with the Suns has a lot to do with their coaching and schemes on both ends of the floor. They have two extreme talents offensively in Booker and Ayton, yet the team ranks 28th in offensive rating (and they’re 29th in defensive rating).
Over their last ten, Booker is putting up 25.4 points, 6.8 assists and 5.5 rebounds on a solid 48.6% from the field. Ayton is averaging 16.8 points and 10.1 rebounds per contest, however with more plays run for him, he could easily be getting 20 and 10 a night.
For the Suns to win tonight, or at least cover, they’ll need Johnson to score like he did against Atlanta, and Booker and Ayton will need to have excellent nights as well. They’ll also need significant contributions from players like Mikal Bridges, Kelly Oubre, and Josh Jackson.
Phoenix Suns Trends
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix’s last 6 games
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami Heat Trends
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 games at home
Miami is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
ESPN NBA Scores Miami Heat Vs Phoenix Suns
The Suns are truly not a good team this year, and they’ve dropped 17 straight. But, the question is more of whether or not they can lose by eight points or less. The answer to that is likely no. Phoenix owns the worst point differential in the league at -10.2, so on average, they lose by more than eight per game. As a result, I’m taking the Heat to win and cover tonight.
Pick: Miami Heat (-8.5)