Portland Trail Blazers (61-33) vs. Golden State Warriors (65-21)
Tuesday, May 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm ET (Oracle Arena)
Spread: Warriors -7 Over/Under: 219
Best Money Line: Trail Blazers +375, Warriors -325
FanDuel NBA Playoffs Pick Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers
In Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, the 3rd seed Portland Trail Blazers are playing at the Oracle Arena against the 1st seed Golden State Warriors. This series will either be a total mismatch or one for-the-ages. On May 10th, the Warriors won their series against the Houston Rockets 4-2. In Game 6, Stephen Curry had 33 points, was 9/20 for field goal shots, and was 11 for 11 at the free throw line. Draymond Green had a total of 10 rebounds, stemming from 8 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive rebounds. Golden State shot 49.4% from the field, but they had 17 turnovers against Houston in this game. Regardless, their performance was adequate to prevail. Now, in Game 7 against the Denver Nuggets, the Trail Blazers’ C.J. McCollum had 37 points, shot 17/29 for field goal shots, and was 2 for 2 at the free throw line. Enes Kanter had a total of 13 rebounds, based on 8 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds earned. Portland’s field goal percentage was 40.9%, and they had only 4 turnovers in this final game.
Plus, the team overcame a 17-point first-half deficit to close out this series. Since 2000, the Trail Blazers had failed countless times to appear in the Western Conference Finals. As for head to head records in the regular season, these two teams have played a total of 229 regular season games against one another. The Warriors have 104 wins, in comparison to the Trail Blazers’ 125 wins. For the post-season, Golden State is 8-1 against Portland all-time. The Blazers’ only playoff win against the Warriors was in the 2016 Western Conference Semifinals. In the last three head to head meetings, the Blazers are 2-1 against the Warriors. Golden State had a higher field goal percentage of 43.82% in these games, but they recovered the same number of rebounds as the Trail Blazers, with a total of 50 rebounds. For three-point shots, once again, the teams are identical. Portland shot 38/108 in these games, while Golden State shot 38/107 from beyond the three-point arc. Contrary to popular belief, the Blazers still have a chance in this series. When playing the Warriors, no stone can be left unturned.
Golden State Warriors
The Golden State Warriors are ranked 2nd for points per game behind the Milwaukee Bucks, averaging 117.7 points per game. Their offensive efficiency rating is 1.126, which is the best in the NBA playoffs. Small forward Kevin Durant is leading the team for points per game, averaging 34.2 points. Draymond Green is ahead for rebounds, assists, and blocks per game. He is acquiring 9.2 rebounds, 8 assists, and 1.3 blocks per playoff game. Shooting guard Klay Thompson is leading the team for steals, earning 1.4 steals per post-season game. Based on a minimum of 8 field goal shot attempts, shooting 54.5%, Andre Iguodala has the highest field goal percentage on the team. In 11 playoff games played and started, Durant is playing 39.1 minutes per game. In 12 post-season games played, Klay Thompson’s MPG is 38.8 minutes.
According to the injury report, both DeMarcus Cousins and Damian Jones are out indefinitely. Not to mention, Kevin Durant is out as well, due to his calf injury. For scoring defense, the Warriors rank 16th, allowing 111.4 points per game. Between the remaining playoff teams, the Warriors are the weakest defensively, especially with Kevin Durant off the court. Their defensive efficiency rating is 1.065, and this number ranks 15th overall. Additionally, Golden State is ranked 4th for free throw shooting at 80.4%. They average 80.5% at home and 80.2% on the road. Either way, the Warriors are statistically the third best team in the league for free throw shooting. Despite having home court advantage in this series, the Warriors will face their most difficult challenge up till now.
Portland Trail Blazers
The Portland Trail Blazers rank 6th for scoring offense, earning 114.2 points per game. The Trail Blazers’ offensive efficiency rating is ranked 4th, and the rating is approximately 1.105. Damian Lillard is leading the team for points, assists, and steals per game. He’s averaging 28.4 points, 6 assists, and 2 steals per playoff game. Center Enes Kanter is ahead in rebounds, earning 10.6 per post-season game. Kanter’s field goal percentage is 51.2%, which is the highest on the team, with a minimum of 10 shot attempts as well. Power forward Zach Collins is averaging 1.5 blocks per game. In 12 playoff games played and started, Lillard is averaging an astonishing 40.7 minutes per game. In 12 post-season games, C.J. McCollum’s MPG is 39.7 minutes.
Upon further review of the injury report, Rodney Hood is listed as “questionable” for tonight’s game against the Golden State Warriors. For scoring defense, Portland has allowed their opponents to score 110.4 points per game, ranking 14th overall. The Blazers’ defensive efficiency rating is also 1.068, which ranks 17th. Furthermore, the team is ranked 2nd for free throw shooting at 80.7%. They are the best free throw team remaining in the playoffs. Portland shoots 80% from the free throw line at home, but they average 81.5% on the road. Their excellent free throw shooting on the road against the Nuggets did not go unnoticed. This Western Conference Finals series will showcase the importance of ball control and aggressive basketball. If Portland can squeeze out at least one win at the Oracle Arena, they’ll have a solid chance to stop the Warriors.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
Golden State Warriors
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State’s last 5 games.
Golden State is 14-5 SU in their last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Golden State’s last 18 games against Portland.
Golden State is 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home.
Golden State is 13-1 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Portland.
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 11-4 SU in their last 15 games.
Portland is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Golden State.
Portland is 4-13 SU in their last 17 games against Golden State.
Portland is 1-13 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Golden State.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland’s last 5 games this season.
DraftKings NBA Playoffs Scores Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors
Leading into Game 1, the major news story across various sports media outlets has been Kevin Durant’s injury. As stated before, he’s out for tonight’s game. Anyways, the Warriors are superior for scoring offense. This team certainly excels at shooting the ball. Nevertheless, the Blazers are the all-round better team for scoring defense and free throw shooting. For three-point shooting, Golden State ranks 3rd at 38.3%, whereas Portland ranks 8th at 35.9%. When team shooting percentage is compared and evaluated, the Warriors rank 1st at 49%, while the Trail Blazers rank 12th at 46.4%. If total rebounding percentage is factored in, Portland is slightly the superior team for acquiring rebounds. They’ve recovered 52% of their failed shot attempts.
Although Golden State is still in all likelihood the best NBA team, they’ve retrieved 50.2% of their missed shots. The Trail Blazers have also outperformed the Warriors for turnovers. Portland averages 13.6 turnovers per game; Golden State allows 14.2 turnovers per game. In terms of personal fouls for each playoff game, the Warriors average 21.7 personal fouls per game. The numbers vary from game to game but as of now, the Blazers commit 20.8 fouls per game. Moreover, the Warriors are 61-24 as selected favorites and 4-5 as underdogs. The Blazers are 47-12 as favorites and 14-21 as underdogs. All things considered, the Golden State Warriors should be favored to win tonight against the Trail Blazers. Even without Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson find interesting ways to elevate their performances.