Portland Trail Blazers (61-34) Vs. Golden State Warriors (66-29)
NBA Basketball: Thursday, May 16, 2019 (Oracle Arena)
Line and Odds: Golden State Warriors (-7)
Free NBA Playoff Picks Portland Trail Blazers Vs. Golden State Warriors
Game one wasn’t nearly as close as Portland fans would’ve liked as the Warriors won by 22 at home. Despite their poor performance shooting the basketball, the Blazers did keep things close until the fourth quarter where they were outscored 23-39. Can they make a comeback and steal home court tonight?
Kevin Durant is still out for game two, however that was no problem for the Warriors two nights ago. Steph Curry led the way with 36 points off 9 three pointers. Fellow splash brother Klay Thompson had 26 points, and his defense on Damian Lillard was excellent throughout. The Warriors also got solid contributions from Draymond Green as well as a few second unit guys like Quinn Cook, Kevon Looney and Jonas Jerebko.
For the Warriors to win tonight, they essentially need to do what they did in game one. It’ll be interesting to see how Portland guards Steph Curry, as their pick and roll defense in game one was abysmal. Throughout the game, the Blazers elected to sag Enes Kanter into the paint leaving Curry free to pull up off of screens. If Portland makes an adjustment tonight, the Warriors’ performance will depend on how Curry reacts to any new defensive schemes.
The Blazers looked bad in game one. Despite keeping it close through three quarters, their defense on Curry was awful, and both of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum were off the mark with their shooting. Lillard only got up 12 shots in 37 minutes of play, and CJ was 7-19 from the field.
For Portland to win tonight, they need to work to free up Lillard more. Klay Thompson completely locked him down in game one, and he struggled to find open looks off the dribble. CJ got decent looks throughout the game, and if he can make more of his open looks, it’ll free up Lillard offensively as well.
The main change that Portland needs to make tonight is on the defensive end. As previously mentioned, they consistently defended the pick and roll by sagging their big into the paint, leaving their guard to fight over the screen and chase Steph Curry. This led to a lot of wide open threes for Curry which is unacceptable to give to the best shooter in the league. While the Blazers have been running this scheme all year, they may need to switch things up and hedge screens to prevent Curry from getting as many great looks as he did in game one.
Portland Trail Blazers Trends
Portland are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland’s last 9 games.
Portland are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games.
Portland are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland’s last 6 games on the road.
Golden State Warriors Trends
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State’s last 12 games.
Golden State are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.
Golden State are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games at home.
Golden State are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against Portland.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State’s last 12 games this season.
NBA Scores Golden State Warriors Vs. Portland Trail Blazers
While Portland looked awful in game one, I think Terry Stotts will make the necessary adjustments to get his team going in game two. Dame and CJ likely won’t have repeats of their game one performances, and this should be a much more highly contested game. Even if the Blazers don’t win, they likely won’t get blown out by 22 again and should cover the spread tonight.
Pick: Portland Trail Blazers (+7)