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Portland Trail Blazers vs. New Orleans Pelicans

Portland Trail Blazers (22-19) at New Orleans Pelicans (20-20)

NBA Basketball: Friday, January 12, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Smoothie King Center)

The Line: New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 — Over/Under:219.5

New Orleans Pelicans vs Portland Trail Blazers1-12-18 Free NBA Pick, Odds and Prediction

Tonight’s matchup features the New Orleans Pelicans and the Portland Trail Blazers, who are both entering the game trying to start a win streak after falling to fellow Western Conference opponents.

New Orleans is led by one of the newest big three combinations in the NBA with two dominant post players in Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins, followed with former all-star Rajon Rondo running point guard. Rondo is averaging 8.1 assists, 7.7 points, and 3.7 rebounds so far this season. Rondo was not a big target in free agency this offseason but has proved to play a vital role in the Pelicans offense, teaming up with 4 other former Kentucky Wildcats. Cousins is leading the team in points, rebounds, and steals. He is averaging 25.9 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 1.5 steals. Davis is fighting Cousins for the lead in points averaging 25.8 points only one-tenth lower than Cousins. Davis is also averaging 10.3 rebounds and 2.1 blocks. Along with this big 3 is Jrue Holliday, the guard is averaging 17.9 points and 5.1 assists. As a team the Pelicans are averaging 110.55 points and shooting 48.99% from the field, these numbers are #4 in scoring and #2 in shooting percentage. The Pelicans offense is one of the best in the league but their defense is one of the worst, allowing 110.8 points a game ranking 28th and 17th in opponents shooting percentage.

Portland is led by the dynamic guard combo of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. The guard combo was led by Lillard in their last game, Lillard scored 29 points, grabbed 5 rebounds and had 8 assists. McCollum poured in 24 points with 6 rebounds and 4 assists. Lillard is averaging 25 points, 6.4 assists, and 4.9 rebounds. McCollum is averaging 21.6 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 3.4 assists. Alongside the dynamic duo of Lillard and McCollum is Jusuf Nurkic, the big man is averaging 14.6 points, 8 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks. As a team the Trail Blazers are averaging 103.46 points and shooting 45.05% from the field, these numbers are 21st in the league, but are ranked #8 in free throw and 3-point percentage, while also ranking #9 in total rebounds. Though there offense is in the bottom third of the league the defense allows an average of 102.37 points and teams are shooting 44.71 percent, these numbers rank 7th in points and 5th in opponents shooting average.

Cover The Spread 365 Trends:

Portland:

  1. Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
  2. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland’s last 6 games
  3. Portland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

New Orleans:

  1. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games
  2. The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans’s last 10 games at home
  3. New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland

Andwgentry‘s Pick:

This game is going to be dominated by DeMarcus Cousins and Anthony Davis. The dynamic big man combination will over-power the post for Portland. Rajon Rondo will spread the ball to his team and they will score efficiently. The Blazers have the better back court but this will not be enough to stop the Pelicans. This game should break the over/under mark.

 

 [button type=”big” color=”blue”] New Orleans Pelicans -3[/button]

Five things to know about new #Pelicans forward Wesley Johnson, who was acquired in a trade today with Clippers dealing Alexis Ajinca: https://t.co/QCs2iUg0WH #Cuse #LetsGoOrange

Also via Schuhmann, #Pelicans led #NBA in shooting percentage (46.1) from the paint on shots that were NOT in restricted area (many of those attempts are floaters, runners and close mid-range shots). Holiday and E'Twaun Moore are particularly skilled in that facet of game

#Pelicans insight via @johnschuhmann related to team improvement offensively last season: 41% of Anthony Davis' shots came from the restricted area (up from 32% the season prior). Career-high 35% of Jrue Holiday's shots were from restricted area. RA is the half circle under rim

#Pelicans 2018-19 season preview, examining some of the numbers that will help dictate success for New Orleans and its backcourt players: https://t.co/FRmgmNJPlR

Each fall, I read/watch many #Pelicans season previews. The one I recommend most this year is John Schuhmann's "One Team, One Stat." Fact-based, speculation-free analysis is welcomed and made me more knowledgeable on a team I saw 90-plus times in '17-18: https://t.co/YbicsqA4f8

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Drew Gentry
Drew Gentry
Andrew is a Charlotte, North Carolina native and who is a broadcast journalism major. He has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he's combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. He loves sports and loves writing about them. Using not just statistics and records, he uses common sense and conventional thinking. The opposite of what most bettors rely on--impulse wagering and following the norm. His articles are well-thought-out and well-researched.
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