Sacramento Kings (37-37) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (31-45)
Thursday, March 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm ET (Smoothie King Center)
Lines and Odds: Kings -4 Over/Under: 237
NBA Draftkings Pick New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings
In this Western Conference match-up, the 9th seed Sacramento Kings are playing against the 12th seed New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center. The Kings are 23-15 at home and 14-22 on the road, and they rank 3rd in the Pacific Division. They’ve won five of the last ten games. On March 26, Sacramento beat the Dallas Mavericks 125-121 at the American Airlines Center. As a result of the San Antonio Spurs losing 125-116 to the Charlotte Hornets, they dropped down to the 8th seed.
There is still a slim chance for the Kings to make the playoffs. They play the Spurs in San Antonio on Sunday, March 31st. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 18-19 at home and 13-26 away. After losing 130-120 to the Atlanta Hawks, played on March 26th, New Orleans is now on a three-game losing streak. Ranking 3rd in the Southwest Division, the team has only won one game over the last ten games. In the last ten head to head meetings, the two teams are 5-5 against one another. While the Pelicans had a higher average field goal percentage of 49.83%, the Kings were more accurate from beyond the three-point arc. They shot 97/253 in these games, whereas the Pelicans shot 105/274.
New Orleans Pelicans
The Pelicans are ranked 3rd in the NBA for scoring offense, averaging 115.4 points per game. Their offensive efficiency rating is 1.081, which ranks 11th overall. Anthony Davis is leading the team for points, rebounds, and blocks per game. He averages 25.9 points, 12 rebounds, and 2.4 blocks per game. Jrue Holiday is ahead for assists per game, acquiring 7.7 per game. With 1.6 steals, he’s earning the most steals per game on the team as well. Christian Wood has the highest field goal percentage on the team, shooting 71.4%. In 67 games played and started, Jrue Holiday was on the court for 35.9 minutes per game. In 56 games played and started, Anthony Davis’ MPG is 33 minutes.
According to the injury report, both Jrue Holiday and E’Twaun Moore are out “indefinitely.” Holiday had season-ending surgery a few days ago. Anthony Davis was upgraded to “probable” for tonight’s game against the Sacramento Kings. For scoring defense based on opponents’ points per game, New Orleans allows their opponents to score 116.3 points each game, ranking 28th in the league. The team’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.090, and it ranks 24th. Moreover, the Pelicans are ranked 19th for free throw shooting at 75.8%. They average 76.2% at home, but shoot 75.4% from the free throw line on the road.
The Sacramento Kings are ranked 10th in scoring offense, averaging 114.1 points per game. The team’s offensive efficiency rating is 1.066, and it ranks 16th overall. With an average of 20.8 points per game, Buddy Hield is leading the team for PPG. Willie Cauley-Stein is acquiring 8.5 rebounds per game. De’Aaron Fox is in first place for assists and steals per game. He averages 7.2 assists and 1.7 steals per game. Marvin Bagley III is earning at least 1 block each game. Bagley is scoring 14.7 points per game as well. In 74 games played and started, Hield is playing 32.1 minutes per game on the court. In 73 games played and started, Fox is averaging 31.8 minutes per game.
Based on 20 games played, Harrison Barnes’ MPG is 35.2 minutes. He is earning 15.1 points per game. After further review of the injury report, there are no injuries listed for the Kings in tonight’s game against the New Orleans Pelicans. For scoring defense, the Kings are ranked 26th overall, due to allowing 114.7 points per game. Sacramento’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.072, which ranks 17th in the league. Furthermore, the Kings rank 27th for free throw shooing at 72.4%. Sacramento averages 72.7% from the free throw line at home, but they are a bit less accurate when playing on the road, shooting at 72%.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
New Orleans is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans’s last 9 games
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento’s last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Fanduel NBA Prediction Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Now, when these teams are compared, the Pelicans have the superior scoring offense. Nevertheless, both teams rank in the bottom five for scoring defense. They have struggled from game-to-game to prevent their opponents from scoring points. For 3 point shooting, Sacramento ranks 4th at 37.6%, while New Orleans ranks 24th at 34.4%. However, for team shooting percentage, the Pelicans rank 5th at 47.3%, whereas the Kings rank 15th at 46.3%. When total rebounding percentage is considered, New Orleans has recovered 50.8% of their failed shot attempts.
Sacramento has retrieved only 48.8% of their missed shots, ranking 25th in the NBA. Plus, the Kings have fewer turnovers each game; they allow 13.6 turnovers. The Pelicans have 14.6 turnovers per game. As for personal fouls, these teams rank in the bottom half of the league. The Pelicans commit 21.3 fouls per game, while the Kings commit 21.9 fouls. All things considered, the Kings are still aiming for that 8th and final playoff spot. New Orleans is missing a few of their key players tonight. Sacramento is 20-4 for the season as favorites. The Kings should once again be favored on the road.
Pick: Kings -4 (-105)