Toronto Raptors (71-31) vs. Golden State Warriors (70-30)
NBA Basketball: Wednesday, June 5, 2019 (Oracle Arena)
Line and Odds: Golden State Warriors (-180) ; Toronto Raptors (+175)
Free NBA Playoff Picks Toronto Raptors Vs. Golden State Warriors
Toronto came out swinging in game one, however Golden State came back strong and stole home court in game two. Can the Raptors reclaim home court advantage tonight? Or will the banged up Warriors take a 2-1 lead at home?
Kevin Durant is still out for game three and Kevon Looney is out for the season following a collarbone injury in game two. Klay Thompson is questionable with a hamstring injury, however most signs point to him playing tonight.
Stephen Curry has been excellent in KD’s absence, and he’s reminded a lot of people why he was a two-time NBA MVP. He dropped 34 in game one, and while his 23 points in game two doesn’t exactly pop off the stat sheet, his gravity was clear throughout the game. The Raptors went to a box and one defense for much of game two, and resorted to trapping Curry any time he touched the ball. On the final play of the game, three Raptors chased Curry, leaving Andre Iguodala wide open for a game-sealing three.
It’s unclear how injured Klay Thompson truly is for today’s game. There isn’t much that would keep Klay out of any game, but the Warriors will need a solid outing from him to keep the Raptors defense honest from outside. Look for Draymond Green to have another excellent game after dropping a triple double in game one, and a near triple double in game two. Also look for Boogie Cousins to contribute in a big way tonight after his breakout game two.
The Raptors looked great in game one after a huge performance from Pascal Siakam, however he struggled in game two. Kawhi Leonard was his usual self with 34 points and 14 rebounds, but the Raptors next leading scorer was Fred Van Vleet with 17 points, and only four Raptors scored in double figures. Toronto needs significant contributions from the rest of the team tonight to reclaim home court tonight.
The main story from the Raptors in game two was their choice of going to a box and one defense to prevent Curry from scoring again. The defense was arguably a success given that they made a massive comeback, although it still only amounted to a five point loss. If Klay Thompson looks injured, the defense may be a good choice again as Curry will be the only significant three point threat. The Raptors would much rather be beaten by the likes of Quinn Cook, Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala from deep than Curry.
To reclaim homecourt, the Raptors will need Siakam and Lowry to have bounce back games offensively, and for Marc Gasol to get Cousins into foul trouble in the low post. Look for Van Vleet, Norm Powell, and Serge Ibaka to have solid games off the bench as well to bolster the Raptors second unit and allow Kawhi Leonard to rest.
Golden State Warriors Trends
Golden State are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State’s last 10 games against Toronto.
Golden State are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Golden State are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto.
Golden State are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Eastern conference
Toronto Raptors Trends
Toronto are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Toronto are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Toronto are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Golden State.
Toronto are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto’s last 9 games on the road.
NBA Scores Golden State Warriors Vs. Toronto Raptors
With KD potentially targeting a game four return, the Raptors are facing a ticking time bomb and need to get as close to four wins as possible before he returns. Beating the Warriors at home is no easy task, however with a banged up Klay Thompson and no Kevon Looney, tonight is as good a chance as any (save for last game) to take a 2-1 lead.
Pick: Toronto Raptors (+175)