Toronto Raptors (71-31) vs. Golden State Warriors (70-30)
Wednesday, June 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm ET (Oracle Arena)
Spread: Warriors -5 Over/Under: 213
Best Money Line: Raptors +220, Warriors -240
FanDuel NBA Finals Pick Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors
After Game 2 of the NBA Finals, the Golden State Warriors evened the series 1-1 against the Toronto Raptors at the Scotiabank Arena, winning 109-104. Just a reminder, these games can be watched on ABC. In Sunday night’s game, Golden State’s field goal percentage was 46.3%, while the Toronto shot 37.2% from the field. The Raptors’ struggling defense allowed 34 points in the 3rd quarter alone. From beyond the three-point arc, the Warriors shot 38.2%, whereas the Raptors shot 28.9%.
When turnovers are evaluated, Toronto closed out the game with 15. Although Golden State still won the game, they finished the game with 16 turnovers. Plus, the Warriors were out-rebounded 58 to 51. The statistics inform viewers that the Dubs played a better overall game. Yet, Toronto let this game slip away when it mattered most. After Danny Green sank a 25-foot three-point shot at 26.9 seconds late in the 4th quarter, the Raptors were trailing by only two points, with a 106-104 score. With only 7 seconds remaining, Andre Iguodala made an impressive 27-foot three-pointer to finish off the home team, winning 109-104.
For the players’ game stats, the Warriors’ Klay Thompson scored 25 points, was 10/17 for field goal shots, and was 1 for 2 at the free throw line. Toronto’s Kawhi Leonard had 34 points, was 8/20 for field goal shots, and was a perfect 16 for 16 at the free throw line. Leonard also had a total of 14 rebounds, stemming from 9 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds. Power forward Draymond Green acquired a total of 10 rebounds, based on 8 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive rebounds.
Historically all-time, the Warriors are 29-18 (.617) against the Raptors. Of course, 28 of their wins were regular season games. In the last three meetings head to head, the Raptors are 2-1 against the Warriors. Golden State had a higher field goal percentage of 45.87% in these games, but they were out-rebounded by Toronto 44.33 to 40. For three-point shots, the Warriors have been more accurate, shooting 31/91. As for the Raptors, they are 33/99 at the three-point arc over the course of these three games.
Golden State Warriors
The Golden State Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging 117.4 points per game. Their offensive efficiency rating is 1.125, which also ranks 1st overall. When small forward Kevin Durant was healthy, he was averaging 34.2 points per playoff game. Draymond Green is ahead in rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks. He is earning 9.9 rebounds, 8.3 assists, 1.4 steals, and 1.6 blocks per post-season game. Klay Thompson is acquiring 1.4 steals per game as well. Based on a minimum of 4 field goal shot attempts, Center Kevon Looney has the highest field goal percentage on the team, shooting 73%.
In 18 playoff games played and started, Stephen Curry is averaging 37.6 minutes per game. In 18 post-season games played and started, Thompson’s MPG is 38.9 minutes. Upon further review of the injury report, Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson, and Kevon Looney are all listed as “questionable” in tonight’s Game 3. Both Thompson and Looney left Game 2 due to hamstring and chest injuries. On Monday night, it was confirmed via an MRI that Looney suffered a fracture, so he’ll be out indefinitely.
In terms of scoring defense, the Warriors have allowed their opponents to score 111.1 points per game, ranking 2nd behind the Raptors. The team’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.064, and this rating also ranks 2nd. Furthermore, the Warriors are ranked 2nd for free throw shooting at 80.7%. They average 80.5% at home, but the team is shooting 80.9% on the road in the post-season. The Warriors’ 18-0 run to start the 3rd quarter was championship-caliber.
Though, the Warriors were lacking energy and enthusiasm late in the 4th quarter. They hadn’t scored since 5:39 left in the 4th. This cannot happen, if they hope to take advantage of having the next two games at the Oracle Arena. Golden State is 36-13 at home for the season. Perhaps, Kevin Durant’s inevitable return will help tip the scale further in favor of the defending champs. Time will tell if whether or not Durant is needed in this series. In the aftermath of games 1 and 2, having him back will only help improve the Dubs on both offense and defense.
The Toronto Raptors are ranked 2nd in scoring offense, averaging 112.7 points per game. Also ranking 2nd, their offensive efficiency rating is 1.089. Kawhi Leonard is leading the team for points, rebounds, and steals per post-season game. He is averaging 30.9 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 1.5 steals. To top it off, Leonard has the highest field goal percentage on the team, too, shooting 49.6%. Point guard Kyle Lowry is ahead in assists, earning 6.4 per game. Center Marc Gasol is in first place for blocks, averaging 1.3 per game. In 20 playoff games played and started, Leonard is playing 38.9 minutes per game. In 20 post-season games played and started, power forward Pascal Siakam’s MPG is 36.6 minutes. According to the injury report, there are no major injuries listed for tonight’s game against the Golden State Warriors. As for scoring defense, the Raptors rank 1st, allowing 106.8 points per game.
Their 3rd quarter blunder in Game 2 showed otherwise, but they had an excellent performance in Game 1. Next, Toronto’s defensive efficiency rating also ranks 1st, and the rating is 1.032. Additionally, Toronto ranks 1st for free throw shooting at 80.8%. They shoot exactly 80.8% both on the road and at home. For more good news, the Raptors’ bench played outstanding in Game 2, accumulating 31 points. Golden State’s bench scored 25 points in four quarters of play.
Aside from fantastic free throw shooting and playing good enough defensively, the key for the Raptors might be the consistency of their bench players’ performances. Point guard Fred VanVleet scored 17 points in Sunday night’s game. A few NBA analysts believe sitting VanVleet to open the second half lost them the game. This certainly holds true after witnessing the team’s lackluster performance in the 3rd quarter. Offensively, Toronto could have scored more points off of the Warriors’ 16 turnovers alone. They ended the game with 18 points off turnovers.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State’s last 10 games against Toronto.
Golden State is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Golden State is 13-1 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto.
Golden State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Eastern conference.
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Toronto is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Golden State.
Toronto is 5-15 SU in their last 20 games against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto’s last 9 games on the road.
DraftKings NBA Finals Score Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors
Now, these conference champions are statistically the best this league has to offer for free throw shooting. Despite the Warriors outscoring the Raptors, “We The North” has the superior scoring defense. Without Kevin Durant, the Dubs are periodically unsuccessful defensively.
One of the wild card performers for the Warriors has to be Andre Iguodala. If he’s hot, the Dubs will look even better with Curry and Thompson nailing those threes. For three-point shooting, Toronto ranks 7th at 36.2%, while Golden State ranks 3rd at 38.3%. When team shooting percentage is analyzed and factored in, the Warriors are ranked 1st, shooting 48.9%. The Raptors are ranked 10th at 46.7%. After reviewing total rebounding percentage, the Dubs have recovered 50.4% of their failed shot attempts.
Toronto, although comparable to their opponent, has retrieved 49.6% of their missed shots. Then, there’s turnovers to think about. The Raptors have 13.6 turnovers per game; the Warriors average 14.3 each game. As for personal fouls, Toronto commits 21.4 per game. Likewise, Golden State commits 21.8 each game.
These teams are evenly matched in some areas. Moreover, Golden State’s injuries have helped to even the playing field. Nevertheless, the defending champs are hungry for another championship parade. This injury-ridden team is still the team to beat. With or without Kevin Durant, they have the more complete basketball team. The Raptors are 60-22 as selected favorites and 11-9 as underdogs. The Dubs are 64-24 as favorites and 6-6 as underdogs. All things considered, Golden State will win and the total will go over.