Toronto Raptors (73-32) vs. Golden State Warriors (71-32)
Thursday, June 13, 2019 @ 9:00 pm ET (Oracle Arena)
Spread: Warriors -4 Over/Under: 211
Best Money Line: Raptors +135, Warriors -145
FanDuel NBA Finals Pick Golden State Warriors vs. Toronto Raptors
In Game 5, the shorthanded Golden State Warriors beat the Toronto Raptors 106-105 to stay alive in this NBA Finals. Although the Warriors are still trailing 3-2 in the series, Game 6 will be the last game ever played at the Oracle Arena in Oakland. Not to mention, Golden State is more vulnerable now than ever before without Kevin Durant. The Warriors are indirectly teaching their opponent everything they know. In Game 5, the Warriors’ field goal percentage was 46.3%, while the Raptors shot 44.7% from the field. For three-point shooting percentage, Golden State shot an astonishing 47.6%, whereas Toronto shot 25%. While finishing the game with 16 turnovers, the Warriors were also out-rebounded 54 to 47. Late in the 4th quarter, the Raptors made a comeback to take a six-point lead, with 3:28 remaining on the clock. Kawhi Leonard made a 16-foot jump shot to raise the score to 103-97 Raptors. Then, after Stephen Curry missed a 25-foot three-pointer and Toronto’s Fred VanVleet made a defensive rebound, Raptors’ Coach Nick Nurse called a timeout. It was at this point in the game multiple NBA analysts are insinuating that Toronto lost the game. The timeout eliminated a bit of their momentum out-of-the-blue.
Three minutes can be a long time in basketball, but the Raptors had the most opportune moment to add to their lead while the team was finally out in-front. Plus, aside from an excellent 4th quarter performance, this was not one of the better games for Kawhi Leonard. For the players’ game stats, Stephen Curry scored 31 points, was 10/23 for field goal shots, and was a perfect 6 for 6 at the free throw line. Klay Thompson scored 26 points as well. The Raptors’ Kawhi Leonard scored 26 points, was 9/24 for field goal shots, and was 6 for 8 at the free throw line. Draymond Green had a total of 10 rebounds, based on 8 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive rebounds. Leonard finished the game with a total of 12 rebounds, stemming from 6 defense rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds. If this series has shown us anything so far, it’s two things: the Warriors are the number one team to beat even without Durant and the Raptors are letting these close games slip away. In the last three head to head meetings, Toronto is 2-1 against Golden State. They had a higher field goal percentage of 46.25% in these games, and the team slightly out-rebounded the Warriors 40.33 to 40. Yet, the Warriors have nailed more threes. They shot 40/105 from beyond the three-point arc, while the Raptors shot 35/102.
Golden State Warriors
The Golden State Warriors are ranked number one for scoring offense, averaging 117 points per game. Their offensive efficiency rating is 1.122, which is also the highest rating currently. Stephen Curry is leading the team for points scored, averaging 28.5 points per game. Statistically, the current playoff MVP of this team is Draymond Green. He is ahead in rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks per game. Green is earning 9.7 rebounds, 8.3 assists, 1.4 steals, and 1.5 blocks per game. While down one game in this series, it is a must for Green to control his emotions during the games. He is one technical foul away from a possible Game 7 suspension. Needless to say, the technical fouls are only hurting the team. As of now, center Kevon Looney has the highest field goal percentage on the team, shooting 70.9%. In 21 post-season games played and started, Curry is playing 38.3 minutes per game.
In 20 playoff games played and started, Klay Thompson’s MPG is 39.3 minutes. Upon further review of the injury report, Kevin Durant is listed as “OUT” and Looney is listed as “questionable” for Thursday night’s game. After scoring 11 points and earning 2 rebounds in 12 minutes of play, Durant left Game 5 with a right Achilles injury. An MRI will later confirm that he suffered a torn ACL. When analyzing scoring defense, the Warriors rank 2nd behind the Raptors, allowing 111.1 points per game. The team has a defensive efficiency ranked 2nd, and the rating is 1.065. Furthermore, Golden State is ranked 2nd behind the Raptors for free throw shooting at 80.5%. They average 80.3% at home and 80.7% away. In Game 5, the Warriors’ bench earned 23 points. However, center DeMarcus Cousins scored 14 of those 23 points. The other bench players need to step their game up for Game 6. Defensively, the team allowed 54 points in the paint. They have to play better.
The Toronto Raptors are ranked 2nd in scoring offense behind the Warriors, averaging 112.6 points per game. The team’s offensive efficiency rating ranks 7th, and the rating is 1.090. Like other high scoring teams, Toronto must shoot threes and play better defense, if they hope to win this series. Kawhi Leonard is leading the team for points, rebounds, and steals per game. Leonard is earning 30.9 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 1.7 steals per game. He also has the highest field goal percentage on the team, shooting 49.2%. Though, Leonard started off 0-4 at the three-point arc in Game 5. He played well in the 4th quarter, but the team managed to score only 22 points in the 3rd quarter, much like the Warriors. Point guard Kyle Lowry is ahead in assists, with accumulating 6.5 per game. Center Marc Gasol is earning 1.1 blocks per game. In 23 playoff games played and started, Kawhi Leonard is averaging 39 minutes per game. In 23 post-season games played and started, power forward Pascal Siakam’s MPG is 36.7 minutes.
According to the injury report, there are no major injuries listed for the Raptors. Aside from being a phenomenal free throw shooting team, one major benefit for this Toronto team this post-season is staying healthy. For scoring defense, the Raptors are ranked 1st overall, allowing 106.7 points per game. Their defensive efficiency rating is 1.032, which is number one ranked. Additionally, Toronto is the best free throw shooting team. They shoot 81% from the free throw line. The Raptors average 80.7% at home, but the team shoots 81.3% on the road. As for their bench, the Raptors closed out Game 5 with 28 points. Serge Ibaka had 15 points and Fred VanVleet scored 11 points. VanVleet was 3 for 6 from beyond the three-point arc. VanVleet’s few threes helped the team to regain momentum. On the topic of calling a timeout late in the 4th quarter, Coach Nick Nurse explained his decision and stated after the game, “The players could use the extra energy push.” Without thinking, this choice may have been counterproductive. The Raptors allowed only 32 points in the paint. So, the team mainly struggled throughout the course of the game shooting those threes. Toronto managed to get hot at the right time but failed to pull away with the win.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto.
Golden State is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games this season.
Golden State is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Eastern conference.
Toronto is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
Toronto is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against Golden State.
Toronto is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto’s last 11 games on the road.
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State.
NBA Finals Score Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors
Leading into Game 6, this is lining up to be a potential 7-Game series. It’s all a matter of which team wants to win it more. The Raptors and Canadian basketball fans are seeking their first NBA championship win. The Dubs are once again playing at home in their final game at the Oracle Arena. For three-point shooting, Golden State is ranked 1st at 38.3%, while Toronto is ranked 2nd at 36.1%. When team shooting percentage is factored in and compared, the Warriors rank 1st at 48.8%, whereas the Raptors rank 2nd at 46.7%. Then, there’s total rebounding percentage. The defending champs have recovered 50.4% of their failed shot attempts; Toronto has retrieved 49.6% of their missed shots. Moreover, the Raptors have the fewest turnovers per game. They’re averaging 13.6 turnovers each game. The Dubs have 14.4 turnovers per game.
Plus, for personal fouls statistics, Toronto commits 21.4 personal fouls per game; Golden State commits 21.8 fouls per game. The Raptors are 60-23 as selected favorites and 13-9 as underdogs. The Dubs are 64-26 as favorites and 7-6 as underdogs. Picking the Warriors over the Raptors in Oakland seems like the most logical prediction for Game 6. The NBA has its fair share of oddities in the post-season, as evident by Kevin Durant’s injury in the 2nd quarter. This is the 73rd season of the National Basketball Association. When the Warriors were 73-9 (.890) in the 2015/2016 season, they blew a 3-1 series lead in the finals against LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. In this season’s finals, it might not be too improbable for this Golden State team to come back from a 3-1 series deficit as well. The Warriors will win and the total will go over.
Pick: Over 211