Toronto Raptors (66-29) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (69-23)
Friday, May 17, 2019 @ 8:30 pm ET (Fiserv Forum)
Spread: Bucks +2 Over/Under: 216
Best Money Line: Raptors +248, Bucks -270
FanDuel NBA Playoffs Pick Milwaukee Bucks vs. Toronto Raptors
In Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals, the 2nd seed Toronto Raptors are aiming to tie the series on the road against the 1st seed Milwaukee Bucks. Needless to say, this game will be aired on TNT. In Game 1, the Bucks beat the Raptors 108-100. The game was not as close as the score indicates. Milwaukee shot 39.8% from the field, while Toronto’s field goal percentage was 37%. For three-point shots, the Raptors were more accurate, shooting 35.7%. The Bucks’ three-point percentage was 25%. Milwaukee not only out-rebounded Toronto 68 to 53, they had a total of 13 turnovers. Likewise, the Raptors finished the game with 12 turnovers. Their pitiful 17-point 4th quarter performance cost them a potential win. As for the players’ game stats, Toronto’s Kawhi Leonard had 31 points, was 10/26 for field goal shots, and was a perfect 10 for 10 at the free throw line. Milwaukee’s 7’0” center, Brook Lopez, had 29 points, was 12/21 from the field, and was 1 for 2 at the free throw line. Lopez earned 19 of his 29 points in the 4th quarter alone.
Now, Marc Gasol had a total of 12 rebounds, which were all earned defensively. Giannis Antetokounmpo finished the game with 14 rebounds, based on 10 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds. Another notable statistic were blocks. The Raptors had 4, whereas the Bucks closed out Game 1 with 11 total blocks. In the last three meetings head to head, the Bucks are 2-1 against the Raptors. They had a higher field goal percentage of 45.85% in these games, and the team out-rebounded Toronto 49.33 to 41. However, the Raptors are nailing more threes. They’ve shot 36/100 from beyond the three-point arc. Although the Bucks are not recognized as being a dominant three-point shooting team, they are still outperforming their opponents on defense. Over the last three meetings, the Bucks have shot 39/119 for three-pointers. Historically, these two teams have played a total of seven playoff games against one another all-time. Toronto leads the all-time post-season series four games to three. These are games from the past, though. The present is much more helpful.
The Milwaukee Bucks are ranked 1st in scoring offense, averaging 117.9 points per game. The Golden State Warriors are ranked 2nd in the post-season. The Bucks’ offensive efficiency rating is 1.106, which ranks 3rd in the NBA playoffs. This powerhouse team is looking like a one-man show right now. No matter which opponent they play, Milwaukee continuously adjusts their gameplan after each half of these games. Power forward Giannis Antetokounmpo is leading the Bucks for points, rebounds, assists, and steals per playoff game. He averages 27.1 points, 11.6 rebounds, 4.6 assists, and 1.3 steals. Brook Lopez is ahead for blocks per game, earning 2.3 per game. Shooting 52.9%, point guard Malcolm Brogdon has the highest field goal percentage on the team currently. In 10 playoff games played and started, the Greek Freak is averaging 32 minutes per game.
In 10 post-season games played and started, Khris Middleton’s MPG is 32.9 minutes. After reviewing the injury report, both Pau Gasol and Donte DiVincenzo are out for the remainder of the season. Head Coach Mike Budenholzer is not expecting Malcolm Brogdon to start tonight. When scoring defense is analyzed, Milwaukee is allowing 108.4 point per game, ranking 2nd behind Toronto. Their defensive efficiency rating, which is 1.017, is the highest amongst the remaining teams. Furthermore, the Bucks rank 16th for free throw shooting at 76.9%. They shoot 77% from the free throw line at home, but the team is slightly less accurate on the road, shooting 76.8%. It goes without saying that Milwaukee is a championship-caliber team. If they continue to improve their free throw shooting and limit their turnovers, knock on wood, the team will be destined to pack their bags for the NBA Finals.
The Toronto Raptors rank 4th for scoring offense, earning 112.9 points per game. After Game 1’s lackluster performance, Toronto is now the lowest scoring team in the playoffs. Nevertheless, they can still turn their ship to gold. The Raptors are one of the best coached teams. Their offensive efficiency rating ranks 4th, and this rating is 1.091. Kawhi Leonard is leading the team for points and rebounds per playoff game. He averages 31.8 points and 8.5 rebounds per game. Leonard is shooting 52.5% from the field as well. Point guard Kyle Lowry is in first place for assists and steals per game, acquiring 6.7 assists and 1.4 steals per game. Not to mention, Marc Gasol is earning at least 1 block every post-season game. In 13 post-season games played and started, Leonard is playing 37.7 minutes per game. In 13 playoff games started, Pascal Siakam’s MPG is 36.4 minutes.
Upon reviewing the injury report, due to an appendectomy injury, OG Anunoby is out indefinitely. For scoring defense, the Raptors rank 2nd in this post-season, allowing 106.8 points per game. Their defensive efficiency rating is 1.031, which ranks 2nd as well. Additionally, Toronto ranks 3rd for free throw shooting at 80.6%. They average 80.4% at home and 80.9% away. If the team hopes to win games against the Bucks in this series, they must elevate their offensive production. They cannot continue to allow over 30 points in the 4th quarter. Aside from Lowry, the rest of the team needs to concentrate on the last twelve minutes of basketball. In Game 1, all other players combined for 0-15 from the field. Just by watching the games alone, the main strength for the Raptors has been their free throw shooting. Head Coach Nick Nurse will have his hands full in this series.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games.
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
Milwaukee is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Toronto.
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games this season.
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Milwaukee.
Toronto is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Milwaukee.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto’s last 7 games on the road.
Toronto is 10-4 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto’s last 14 games this season.
DraftKings NBA Playoffs Scores Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Realistically, “We The North” should “Fear the Deer” in this series. At the moment, the Bucks are the highest scoring offense in the NBA playoffs. Next to free throw shooting, the Raptors are playing better defensively. Having said that, their 4th quarter performance in Game 1 showed otherwise. For three-point shooting, Toronto ranks 7th at 36.1%, while Milwaukee ranks 15th at 35.1%. When team shooting percentage is factored in and considered, the Bucks are ranked 3rd at 47.4%, whereas the Raptors are ranked 6th at 47%. As for total rebounding percentage, Milwaukee has recovered 51.7% of their failed shot attempts. On the other hand, Toronto has retrieved 49.7% of their missed shots.
Plus, the Raptors average 13.7 turnovers per game; the Bucks have allowed 13.8 turnovers each game. These Eastern Conference teams match up almost perfectly this season. Moreover, Milwaukee commits 19.7 personal fouls per post-season game. Toronto has struggled more from game to game, committing an average of 21.2 fouls. The Raptors are 57-21 as selected favorites and 9-8 as underdogs. For the Bucks, they are 61-20 as favorites and 8-3 as underdogs. Heading into Game 2 with all things considered, viewers might see a different Raptors’ offense tonight. This team needs more positive energy, if they want to have an equal opportunity of competing efficiently in this particular series. It wouldn’t surprise some people to see the road team squeeze out a win in this one.