Toronto Raptors (50-21) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (42-29)
March 20, 2019 @ 9:30 pm ET (Chesapeake Energy Arena)
Lines and Odds: Raptors +5.5 Over/Under: 225.5
ESPN NBA Expert Picks Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Toronto Raptors
In tonight’s inter-conference match-up at the Chesapeake Energy Arena, the 2nd seed Toronto Raptors are playing against the 6th seed Oklahoma City Thunder. The Raptors are 29-7 at home and 21-14 on the road, and rank 1st in the Atlantic Division. Toronto has won six of the last ten games. On March 18th, they beat the New York Knicks 128-92 at the Scotiabank Arena. Toronto is three games back behind the 1st seed Milwaukee Bucks. Ranking 3rd in the Northwest Division, the Thunder are 23-11 at home and 19-18 away. They’ve won four of the last ten games on their schedule. After losing to the Miami Heat 116-107 at home, played on March 18th, Oklahoma City is now on a three game losing streak. The 5th seed San Antonio Spurs also have a record of 42-29. If their losing streak continues, they’ll soon drop to the 7th seed. In the last ten meetings head to head, OKC is 6-4 against the Raptors. They averaged a higher field goal percentage of 47.82% and out-rebounded Toronto 45.50 to 38.80. Additionally, the Thunder were more accurate from beyond the three point arc, shooting 95/255, while the Raptors shot 90/259.
Oklahoma City Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank 6th for scoring offense, averaging 114.5 points per game. Their offensive efficiency rating is 1.064, which ranks 16th in the NBA. Paul George is leading the team for points and steals per game. He averages 28.3 points and 2.2 steals per game. Russell Westbrook is ahead for rebounds and assists per game. He acquires 11.1 rebounds and 10.5 assists each game. With 1.3 blocks, Jerami Grant is in first place for this metric. Center Steven Adams has the highest field goal percentage on the team: 60.4%. In 67 games played and started, George is averaging 36.6 minutes per game as well. Westbrook’s MPG is 35.8 minutes, and he has played in 62 games. According to the injury report, after serving his one-game suspension, Westbrook is listed as “probable” for tonight’s game against the Toronto Raptors. Plus, Andre Roberson is out “indefinitely” and Nerlens Noel is listed as “questionable.” For scoring defense based on opponents’ points per game, the Thunder rank 15th, due to allowing 110.9 points per game. The team’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.031 and it ranks 4th overall. Furthermore, OKC is ranked 28th for free throw shooting at 71.5%. They average 72% from the free throw line at home and 71% on the road.
The Toronto Raptors are ranked 8th for scoring offense, averaging 114.1 points per game. The Raptors’ offensive efficiency rating is 1.093, ranking 7th in the league. Kawhi Leonard is leading the team for points and steals per game. He averages 27.1 points and 1.8 steals per game. Serge Ibaka is ahead for rebounds, field goal percentage, and blocks each game. Ibaka earns 8.1 rebounds and 1..4 blocks per game. His field goal percentage is 52.2%. Kyle Lowry is in first place for assists, acquiring 9 per game. In 57 games played and started, playing 34.6 minutes per game, Lowry is also leading the Raptors for MPG. In 70 games played and 69 started, Pascal Siakam’s MPG is 31.9 minutes. Upon further review of the injury report, Kyle Lowry was downgraded to “OUT” for tonight’s game against OKC. After serving his suspension, Serge Ibaka is listed as “probable.” Based on scoring defense, Toronto allows their opponents to score 108.6 points, which ranks 10th overall. Ranking 5th, the team’s defensive efficiency rating is 1.040. Moreover, the Raptors rank 5th in the league for free throw shooting percentage at 79.8%. The team averages 78.8% from the free throw line at home, but they are more accurate on the road at 80.8%.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games
Oklahoma City is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City’s last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Oklahoma City is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Toronto is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games
Toronto is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
ESPN NBA Scores Toronto Raptors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
While the Raptors are a top 5 free throw shooting team, the Thunder are statistically the complete opposite. Nonetheless, OKC is superior for scoring offense. As for Toronto, they edge the Thunder for scoring defense. Not to mention, for 3 point shooting, the Raptors rank 11th at 35.6%, whereas the Thunder rank 24th at 34.6%. After evaluating team shooting percentage, Toronto ranks 8th at 47%, while Oklahoma City ranks 19th at 45.5%. When total rebounding percentage is calculated, the Thunder rank 8th, recovering 51.1% of their missed shots. Toronto has retrieved 50% of their failed shot attempts, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Likewise, the Raptors and Thunder are above average basketball teams for not allowing turnovers. Toronto and OKC allow 14 turnovers per game. Plus, the Raptors commit 21.3 personal fouls per game. In comparison, Oklahoma City commits 22.7 personal fouls. As selected favorites, Toronto is 43-14 this season. It will be a major task for the Raptors to win on the road in OKC, but the odds are still in their favor. Considering all the injuries and statistics leading into tonight’s game, the Toronto Raptors should be favored on the road.
Pick: Raptors +4.5 (-125)