Cincinnati Bearcats (20-3) vs. Houston Cougars (22-1) (TV: ESPN)
February 10, 2019 4:00 PM ET (Fertitta Center)
Spread: Houston -4.5 Over/under: 131.5
Free ESPN NCAA BB Pick Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougars
The Houston Cougars will host the Cincinnati Bearcats in a matchup between the two best teams in the American Athletic Conference. They are also the only 2 nationally ranked teams in the conference, with Houston ranked 12th and Cincinnati ranked 25th. Both teams are having excellent seasons, with only 4 losses between them. This should be a good matchup between two competitive teams vying for the conference title. Cincinnati is lead by junior guard, Jaron Cumberland (18.6 ppg 4.1 rpg 3.6 apg). The rest of the team is well balanced, with 5 other players averaging at least 8.0 ppg. Sophomore guard, Keith Williams (10.9 ppg 3.2 rpg 1.0 apg) gives the team another option on the perimeter as he is shooting 35.3% from 3.
Houston is lead by senior guard, Corey Davis Jr. (15.5 ppg 3.3 rpg 3.0 apg) and junior guard, Armoni Brooks (14.3 ppg 6.2 rpg 0.9 apg). The rest of the team contributes well as role players, with 6 other players averaging at least 5.9 ppg. When so many players can score and do different things, it can be difficult for the opposing team to just key in on one or two players. That is partly why Houston only has one loss on the season. That lone loss came to Temple on the road, 73-69. But, they were able to avenge that loss with a 73-66 home win over Temple. Houston is on a 7 game winning streak and is showing themselves to be the best team in their conference. Houston is coming off a Thursday night road win over UCF, 77-68. Corey Davis Jr. lead the team with 26 points in the win.
Cover The Spread 365 Stats
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games
Cincinnati is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Cincinnati’s last 25 games on the road
Cincinnati is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games when playing Houston
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston’s last 9 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 games at home
ESPN NCAA BB Pick Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougars
Houston averages 75.61 ppg, while Cincinnati averages 74.78 ppg. With these teams averaging similar point totals, it should end up being a close game. This will be the first of two games that these teams will play against each other this season. Both teams are top 10 defensive squads, which is one reason they are both nationally ranked. Houston is ranked 6th in points allowed at, 60.78 ppg and Cincinnati is 10th allowing 61.65 ppg. With both teams having cohesive units on the defensive end, this could turn out to be a low scoring game, either in the 60’s or 70’s.
Cincinnati is on a 8 game winning streak and coming off a Thursday night road victory over Memphis, 69-64. Jaron Cumberland had 17 points in the win. The two best players, Jaron Cumberland (Cincinnati) and Corey Davis Jr. (Houston) should get chances to guard each other. Houston should win this game as they are undefeated at home and have proven to play great defense at home only allowing, 59.94 ppg.
Pick: Houston -4.5