Duke Blue Devils (13-1) @ Florida State Seminoles (13-2)
January 12, 2019 2:00 PM ET (Donald L. Tucker Center)
Line: Duke Blue Devils -320 Florida State Seminoles +260
Spread: Duke Blue Devils -7.5
The Duke Blue Devils have been the best team in the country with only a two-point loss to Gonzaga in Hawaii stopping their perfect season. Duke currently is the only team in the country to be in the top five in both defensive and offensive efficiency. Zion Williamson who is projected to be the first pick in the draft this year currently leads the nation in player efficiency rating with a 43.1 which would be a NCAA record. Although Williamson has received a lot of attention shooting guard RJ Barrett leads the team in scoring at 22.8 points per game and is second in assists with 4.1 while also being third in rebounding at 6.5 a game. In the two conference games leading into this game point guard Tre Jones has just one turnover in 68 minutes with 16 assists.
For the Florida State Seminoles this game will be the biggest of the year as they look to prove themselves as legitimate national championship contenders. The Seminoles have righted themselves after losing to Virginia by 13 on the road. Florida State remained unbeaten at home this year after defeating Miami on Wednesday night 68-62 where they continued to struggle from 3 going just 6-26 from beyond the arc. This marked the third straight game where the Seminoles didn’t hit at least 10 threes in addition in their past ten games they haven’t made over 10 threes in a game. Meanwhile Trent Forrest also continued his slump following up a scoreless performance with just 6 points on 2-8 shooting from the field including 0-3 from 3-point range.
Cover the Spread 365 Trends
Duke is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
Duke is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke’s last 8 games when playing Florida State
Florida State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Duke
Florida State is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Florida State’s last 12 games when playing at home against Duke
This ACC matchup will be one of the biggest games of this early conference game for both teams. The last two meetings between these two teams with Duke being ranked as the best team in the country saw Duke go down to Florida State with the last time being January 2011. The most important topic for this game will be how Duke’s highly rated freshmen react to a hostile atmosphere in their first road test against a ranked opponent. The Seminoles will need their leading scorer Trent Forrest to break out against Duke for a big game and will need more than two players in double figures if they hope to pull the upset. Florida State will need to force turnovers and also keep Williamson and company off the boards especially on the offensive glass. Duke’s talent is the best in the country and although one of the toughest tests so far Barrett should still have a big game and Williamson should find his way into the paint. Duke should get a win in a tough environment to continue their momentum into ACC play as they show why they are the top ranked team in the country.