NCAA Basketball: Thursday, January 10th @ 11pm ET (McCarthey Athletic Center)
Lines: Gonzaga -24.5; O/U 158.5
FREE NCAA Basketball Pick Pacific Tigers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs
The Pacific Tigers are heading to Spokane on Thursday night to take on the 5th ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs.
This team does not mess around. They provided the biggest jolt in the early-goings of this season by defeating the consensus best team in the country Duke Blue Devils, but they didn’t fare as well in their next couple tough matchups, losing back-to-back to #7 Tennessee and #12 UNC. Those remain their only 2 losses, though, as they’ve rattled off 5 straight wins by an average of 44 points and reasserted themselves as one of the nation’s best teams. Their 12-4 record ATS should also give you confidence if you’re considering betting on them, as they tend to trounce the teams they’re supposed to dominate. Player of the year candidate Rui Hachimura leads the way for the best offense in college basketball, which scores nearly 94 PPG; and, as they have been most years under Mark Few, I expect the Bulldogs to be one of the top seeds and among the favorites to win it all come March.
Pacific has a more than respectable 10-7 record, though it looked much better before dropping 3 of their last 4, including a tough home loss to BYU after erasing a 21 point deficit. If they want to avoid starting their conference schedule in an 0-3 hole, they’ll need to do it on the road against one of the best teams in the country, so it’s not a great time to be Pacific. They’re just outside the top 100 in offensive efficiency, and among the least efficient defensive teams in the country, so they’re going to need to take (and make) significantly more threes in this game than they normally do if they want to sniff a chance at victory. They’re just a game over .500 ATS (8-7), though this spread is far greater than any other they’ve faced this year. I wish I had more words of encouragement for the Tigers, but they face quite an uphill battle here.
Cover the Spread 365 Betting Trends
Pacific is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pacific’s last 6 games on the road
Pacific is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Gonzaga
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Gonzaga’s last 5 games at home
Gonzaga is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pacific
Gonzaga is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
FREE NCAA Basketball Pick Pacific Tigers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Let’s not reinvent the wheel here, ok? Gonzaga has won and covered 5 straight games with spreads of 28.5, 28, 40, 27, and 26.5. They’re playing at home against the last place team in their conference, and they’re healthy. Could Pacific keep it even marginally close? Sure, of course. But we’re betting on the odds and those say that Gonzaga is going to wipe the floor with the Tigers. And as long as we’re here, I wouldn’t shy away from the over, either. Gonzaga is going to score somewhere between the high 80’s and low 100’s. If it’s on the upper end of that range, Pacific only needs to score ~60 points for the over to hit (and they average 74 per game). Again…I like the odds.