North Carolina Tar Heels (26-5) at Louisville Cardinals (20-12)
NCAA Basketball: Thursday, March 14, 2019, at 7pm (Spectrum Center)
Lines & Odds: North Carolina -6; Over/Under: 151
FREE NCAA BB PIck Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina Tar Heels
February 2nd, 2019 — In their most recent matchup, the Tar Heels pretty much won the game in the first half as they led 45-28. However, the Cardinals would not go quietly as they stormed back in the second half, outscoring the Tar Heels, 41-34. Nevertheless, it wasn’t enough as the comeback fell short, and the Cardinals ran out of time in a 79-69 defeat. The Tar Heels dominated the boards as they outrebounded the Cardinals by 17, 49-32. In addition, North Carolina earned 19 trips to the free throw line, hitting 15 of the attempts while Louisville made it in only nine attempts, hitting seven of them. Luke Maye (20 points & 11 rebounds) and Cameron Johnson (19 points, 10 rebounds, FG:5-9, & 3PT: 3-6). On the other hand, Louisville’s top two scorers in Dwayne Sutton (19 points, 8 rebounds FG: 7-12, & 3PT:4-8) and Jordan Nwora (11 points, seven rebounds, & 3PT: 3-6) led the way in defeat.
Louisville Cardinals (20-12)
In the Cardinals’ last five games, they have lost three of them. Within that span, their only wins were against Notre Dame, with the most recent one in Wednesday’s 75-53 triumph in the second round of the ACC Tournament. The Cardinals’ leading scorer, Jordan Nwora, led the way with 24 points and nine rebounds. North Carolina awaits the Cardinals, for the third time this season as both teams splitted the first two meetings. The Tar Heels are currently on a seven-game win streak coming into this matchup, and hoping to make it eight on Thursday.Louisville fell short in their comeback against the Tar Heels in their recent matchup. However, in order to defeat the Tar Heels, the Cardinals must out-rebound North Carolina as the Tar Heels take pride in that department, leading the nation with 1361 rebounds. The Cardinals must also force North Carolina to turn the ball over as the Tar Heels committed 415 turnovers (207th). North Carolina also committed 534 fouls, something that should also be a crucial part of Louisville’s game plan. Lastly, score more points than North Carolina as the Tar Heels are third in the nation in scoring offense, averaging 86.3 PPG.
North Carolina (26-5) #3
The Tar Heels are currently on a seven-game win streak, hoping to push it to eight on Thursday. However, their upcoming foe, a familiar foe in Louisville, whom they met in two meetings this season, splitting the series up until this point, are looking forward to avenging their recent loss against the Tar Heels. Louisville smell blood, blue blood in the the ACC water as this is an opportunity to booster their tournament resume as well as having bragging rights with a potential season series clinching win against the Tar Heels. Nonetheless, the Tar Heels will be prepared for this matchup as they are favored to win this contest. If the Tar Heels want to avoid an upset, they must take advantage of Louisville’s inefficient scoring offense that averages 74.7 PPG (120th). In Louisville’s shooting clips, they shoot 43.6% (223rd) from the field, 50.6% (191st) from two-point range, and 34.5% (175th) from three-point range. The Tar Heels should also limit Louisville’s offensive boards as well as their assists as these are some of the weaknesses of the Cardinals. Overall, the Tar Heels will need to continue to score efficiently, commit less turnovers, less fouls, and play better defense to win this matchup.
Cover The Spread 365 Trends
Louisville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisville’s last 8 games
Louisville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina
Louisville is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisville’s last 7 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina’s last 8 games
North Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisville
North Carolina is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Louisville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina’s last 7 games when playing Louisville
FREE NCAA BB Prediction Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina Tar Heels
With tournament hopes still in the air, Louisville will do everything in their power to claim victory over the Tar Heels and hopefully win the ACC Tournament to boost their tournament resume. However, the Tar Heels have a say in this as they are also looking to win the ACC Tournament Championship as well as aiming to solidify a number one seed for March Madness. No matter how much fight the Cardinals will bring, the Tar Heels are just the better team, and will squeeze out a narrow victory in this one.
Pick: North Carolina -6; Under 151