San Diego State (19-11) at Nevada (27-3)
NCAA Basketball: Saturday, March 9, 2019 at 10:30 pm (Lawlor Events Center)
Line and Odds: Nevada -14 — Over/Under: 144
NCAA BB Picks and Parlays Nevada vs. San Diego State
Nevada aims to lock up a share of the Mountain West regular season title against San Diego State, while the Aztecs look for a season sweep of the 17th-ranked Wolf Pack.
Nevada enters the matchup as one of the top mid-major teams in the nation. They are a battle-tested squad coming off a Sweet Sixteen appearance last year. The Wolf Pack are led by Caleb Martin, a 6’7 senior who averages 19.4 points per game. Caleb’s twin brother Cody Martin also excels for Nevada with a Mountain West-leading 5.2 assists per game. As a result of the Martins’ efforts, Nevada ‘s stellar offense leads the Mountain West in scoring. Nevada went 13-0 against a solid non-conference slate that included wins over BYU, Arizona State and South Dakota State. In Mountain West play they have slightly faltered, however, with three conference losses. One of Nevada’s three losses was to none other than San Diego State. In that game, the Aztecs shut down Nevada, holding the Wolf Pack to just 57 points, their lowest scoring total of the year. Nevada also dropped a road tilt to Utah State on Saturday, who currently stands a half game above the Wolf Pack in the Mountain West standings. Entering tonight’s bout with the Aztecs, Nevada has lost two of five after a 24-1 start to their year. Is their recent cold streak a cause for concern?
San Diego State has been a more average group throughout the season, and they currently stand at fourth in the Mountain West. Like Nevada, the Aztecs qualified for the NCAA Tournament last year, but SDSU fell in the first round to Houston. Sophomore Jalen McDaniels leads the Aztecs in scoring, with 16.4 PPG. San Diego State doesn’t excel too much in any one area, as they fall near the middle-of-the pack in the Mountain West in scoring, rebounds, and field goal percentage. They do play solid defense though, allowing 67.8 points per game, good for 79th in the nation. The Aztecs have taken some questionable losses this season, including blowouts at the hands of Boise State, San Diego, Air Force and Brown. However, they have won six of eight games, including wins over the Mountain West’s top two teams in Nevada and Utah State. In both of those big games, the SDSU defense was locked in, allowing 63 or fewer points in each contest. A key stat to note is that San Diego State only has two losses all year when allowing fewer than 70 points. In turn, the Aztecs’ defense will be crucial in tonight’s game.
Cover the Spread 365 NCAA BB Betting Trends
San Diego State
4-1 ATS in last 5 games against Nevada
1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games on the road
The under is 6-1 in San Diego State’s last 7 road games
0-5 ATS in last 5 games
2-11 SU in last 13 games against San Diego State
The under is 13-6 in Nevada’s last 19 home games
Free NCAA BB Expert Picks San Diego State vs. Nevada
While Nevada has clearly been the superior team this year, San Diego State always plays the Wolf Pack tough. Nevada has the advantage of being at home for this matchup, and the added motivation of contending for the Mountain West regular season title. But, San Diego State won’t go down easy in their regular season finale against their bitter rival. The Aztecs will clamp down on the defensive end and make life tough for the Wolf Pack. Although I am picking Nevada straight up, I expect San Diego State to cover their +14 spread. In addition, I will take the under in what should be a low-scoring, defensive battle.
San Diego State +14